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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Since Dec 18 BAM's price has been declining, is there something wrong ?, why is the reason for the decline ?, my earnings graph at TDwaterhouse shows that earnings have been declining since April 2015. Is this accurate ?. Are investors expecting bad news on Feb 15 when the 2017 results are going to be announced ?
thanks
Read Answer Asked by Alejandro (Alex) on January 29, 2018
Q: Currency question:
I want to buy an emerging market ETF and a US market ETF. If we assume that the American dollar continues to drop, are we better to have a Canadian dollar hedged fund or to purchase in US dollars? Thanks in advance.
Read Answer Asked by Pat on January 29, 2018
Q: I have some money in an RRSP and I feel that my diversification is broad enough. My preference is in consistent reliable dividends (nearing retirement) and honestly some potential in a market increase. Which of these would you pick? Also, I would like you to give me a better idea about Centurylink. At what stock price level would you consider to be a purchase point? ( or would you stay away period).
Read Answer Asked by Tim on January 29, 2018
Q: I have owned these Bond ETF's for the last few years and have seen the unit prices drift lower with the rising rate environment. If I had bought the bonds directly the maturity date would restore the capital. Does the same thing happen within the ETF's to the same effect? How doe s it play out over time?
Thanks
Paul
Read Answer Asked by Paul on January 29, 2018
Q: In the current interest rate environment what bond ETF would you recommend as a core bond holding in an RRSP. Time frame would be long.
Read Answer Asked by Joe on January 29, 2018
Q: Do you feel every portfolio should have at least one Gold Company?

What is the importance of owning a gold company? The long term track record of most Gold Mining companies does't look that compelling. I know that you have mentioned it as a hedge/protection, but even in 2009 Gold companies went down with the rest of the market.

Is just to ensure proper diversification?

When I look at AEM compared to FNV I like the past performance of FNV, but does it provide the same diversification

If it is your recommendation to have as part of any well constructed portfolio, what percentage should be with a Gold company. Just one full position?

Thanks as always.
Read Answer Asked by Colin on January 29, 2018
Q: My advisor has recommended the following "best current" additions to my diversified portfolio. I value your opinions higher. ZUB RUF.UN ACR.UN WIR.U. IEMG.
In your opinion are these "best to buy" in their areas, and if not, what are your suggestions for better ones? Thank you for your continuing guidance.
Read Answer Asked by Harold on January 29, 2018
Q: Could you please take look at this rather interesting 'Gaming' concern.
JP (Jackpot Digital Inc. ) They have been in the electronic / digital gaming equipment industry for a few years and therefore have a history of design and production. They have an interesting new 84" G4 multiplayer unit that is garnering positive comments, awards and sales.
Your usual considered overview please. Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Ryczard on January 29, 2018
Q: Hello 5i team,

Your January update (like everything else that you do) was much appreciated.

Over the past decade, whereas I would have been satisfied with a 7% compound annual return in order to meet my income needs, my RRIF portfolio registered a growth rate of 15% compound p.a. That’s great! However, in the last 3 years while I kept expecting a lower return, the actual returns kept confirming the long term trend.
Once again, if the estimated returns for the next 15 years (age 90) were to be 7% annually, I would be very happy.
This scenario would be my “base case”

However, we should expect a recession during this span of time; it is not a matter of “if” but “when”.
In the past recessions, most of the following indicators (yield curve, inflation trends, labour market, credit/liquidity situation, ISM index, earnings quality and housing market) painted a recessionary picture. The average market drop of the last 4 recessions was around 40%, the average duration around 1 year and the average recovery period around 2 years.
At present, and for now; all of these indicators are in an expansionary mode.

What should I do to prepare for or react to the upcoming recession hits?

1. I could ride the recession (stay invested); in this scenario, my annual income would be 21% lower than in the base case.

2. I could exit after the start of the recession (while closely observing the leading indicators). Incur a 20% drop in the value of my portfolio (vs 40%), partially miss the first part of the recovery and obtain 15% (vs assumed 33%) and on to the second leg 25% recovery. In this scenario, my annual income would be 4% lower than in the base case. This outcome would be quite acceptable; it’s just like a rounding error.

3. I could also try to be “cute” and exit just before the start of the recession. This scenario would be a “non-starter” because it implies “timing the market”. Imagine if I exited the market in early 2019 and the recession did not hit until 2 years later……

I’m therefore leaning towards scenario 2. What do you think? What do you suggest?

Thanks, as always,

Antoine
Read Answer Asked by Antoine on January 29, 2018
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