Investment Q&A

Q: Hello,

I started getting back into energy two weeks ago. I own WCP, CPG, SGY and XEG. Currently, combined they make up 2% of my portfolio. My plan is to continue nibbling away at them for the next few months as oil recovers. I would end up having an equal position in each which would total 6% of my portfolio. Does this plan make sense? Is 6% a good position or should I be aiming for a higher percentage? How high do you think would be reasonable? Could one go as high as 10%? Also, what other sectors will recover when energy does?

Q: Another question on CCL Industries. Appreciate your patience.

The Globe and Mail - Friday, January 29, 2016, 19:38:22

"CCL Industries Inc. is close to oversold levels in terms of RSI with a reading of 36.5, and the stock price remains well above its 200-day moving average. RSI has worked well in uncovering profitable buying opportunities in the stock, most notably when a buy signal in October of 2014 was followed by a 130-per-cent rally (not a typo) to Jan. 5 of this year. More recently, CCL industries stock fell close to oversold levels in August and October 2015 and quickly recovered.

Past performance, as always, is no guarantee of future returns. CCL benefited tremendously from the decline in the loonie – 83 per cent of its revenue is generated in the U.S. and Europe – and the Canadian currency has been showing more signs of stability lately. Investors must complete fundamental research before making any portfolio transactions."

Would appreciate your comments with respect to stock's technicals. Last tear in August and Oct/2015, I clearly remember, price rebound from oversold levels was spectacular. To me, current conditions appear to be very similar. Is the recent stability of CAD$ impacting investor sentiment, in your view or is it the valuation? To my knowledge, CCL has made several strategic acquisitions in past few months and it's growth prospects have only improved. Thanks

Q: Db posted a quarter lost of more than 6 billion Euro, it seems all of its core business are non-profitable. Some people are saying it is going under (scary!), and I found out DB has more than dozens of trillions "Exposure" in derivatives. My question are: what does that "Derivatives Exposure" mean and should I be a buy at current price (super low!)? I am young and i like to bet on big changes. Let me know your thoughts. Thanks. Tony

Q: The stock just got a positive mention in Barron's. Does the management of this REIT, namely David Hamamoto, have a less than stellar reputation? Any information on this stock would be appreciated.

Q: TD is being sued (class action) for $5.5 billion for wrong doing in the Stanford Bank ponzi scheme. A recent ruling has sent this to trial. What are your thoughts and what impact could this have? What typically happens in cases like this?

thank you

Q: "TD Bank embroiled in Ponzi fallout" - Globe headline. According to the paper the liquidator of the fraudulent ponzi bank thinks TD should cover the 5.5 billion investor losses plus any money TD made as a conduit for transferring money from the investors' to the fraudulent bank. TD seems to have been the intermediary. Should owners of TD stock be selling their positions or do nothing and wait for further developments?

Q: Good Morning Peter, Ryan, and Team,
If this question has already been answered then please ignore it. I just wanted to get your take on the proposed management buyout of AYA at $21 CDN. I would be surprised if a deal got done at this price but I would appreciate your sage opinion of this breaking development. Thank you, DL

Q: I wrote 5 I in May on this stock which I held for a long time
Pre 5 I it has since went up significantly in a tough market and i am at odds why you would not follow and recommend this stock to your subscribers .

Q: I would like your suggestions for replacing the three interest income positions and the preferred shares position with dividend like equity positions. Thanks.......Tom

Q: Good afternoon,

EQ Bank's high interest savings account has an interest rate of 3%. I didn't see anything on their website to indicate that this is an introductory rate. I am comparing this to ZFS, a short term federal government bond ETF. I wanted to get your thoughts on whether you think there are any potential risks to the savings account vs the ETF and if you think it is a good option if i am looking for a very safe bond like investment.

Q: I am reviewing your Macroeconomic Report Card. Thanks for that, I find it interesting.
Two questions:1) How are the TSX and S%P 500 average P/E ratios calculated? Are these a straight average of all stocks in the exchange or are the weighted in some way? 2) For the TSX and S&P yields, are all stocks included or just those with dividends or something else? and is it a straight average or weighted by capitalization or something else?
Thanks, you provide a great service.

Q: Is there a possibility that 5i would organize a day-long symposium somewhere in the GTA for members where a set of seminars would be offered that would be of interest to the group? The structure of the seminars could be similar to what was offered on the recent cruise excursion that 5i organized. It would be of interest to people like myself who would enjoy the seminars but could not manage to get away on a cruise for several days. Anyway, thanks so much for your wonderful service.

Q: I was thinking of buying for my RIF because of tax tx of distribution. I can't analyse as there is not data available via CIBC Investors Edge to determine PE, ROE, debt etc etc. Is this a solid hold for my RIF?

Q: While I am not yet 89 , I understand the older gentleman's desire to still have a hand in the market. Would keeping 50 per cent for emergency and putting the remaining in laddered GICs work for him? He could still get at the GICs even if he had to pay a price. What do you think? (not wiser than you, but older!)

Q: I own some Royal Bank and Manulife stock; what other financial stock would compliment these holdings?

Q: I hold a small position in a number of stocks (about 2K to 3K per company). Trying to raise 10K. Which 4 of these 8 would you sell ?

Alaris Royalty Corp
Painted Pony Petroleum Ltd
Pembina Pipeline Corp
Inter Pipeline Ltd
Terra Firma Capital Corp
Great Canadian Gaming Corp
Lundin Mining Corp
Patient Home Monitoring Corp

Q: How would you rank these 4 small caps with regards to value and growth. Which would you be most comfortable buying today?

Thanks

Q: Interested on your insights into this company. Early stage but sounds like a pending contract for their skin lightener could be worth 3 times their current market cap ++ and that is just one of their products in the pipeline. Recent volume and price increase seems to point to something transformative on the horizon.

Q: Hi Folks,

I read this note this a.m. from Bill Dickey at RBC in his 'technical corner' I thought it was very appropriate to the interests of the readership here and with the numbers included from Bloomberg really brings what you've been saying to those that worry to light.

"Much is made of the stock markets daily direction, but watching the movement too closely likely makes it more difficult to tell what the trend may be, but the allure and excitement of the process makes it an irresistible thing to watch for some investors. Often it seems that the market changes direction on a daily basis, with the reason for the move sometimes being a pretty weak excuse. This is because the daily market moves are driven more by the emotion that gets tied to the daily news rather than the trend of the fundamentals that determine the long- term success in investing. If the markets moved only in relation to the facts, they would be easier to understand, but once you throw opinion and emotion into the mix, it gets very confusing and uncertain. The table below illustrates how the daily market movement is close to a coin-toss in which direction that it may be as the emotion of investors is a lot harder to predict than the market itself, while the longer-term view generally supports the theories and benefits of a long-term investment plan."


Percentage of time S&P has been up over the past 65 years

Daily : 53%
Weekly : 64%
Monthly: 59.3%
Quarterly: 64.3%
Yearly: 73%

Source: Bloomberg news

Best

Sheldon



Best

Sheldon


Q: "Yesterday there were two 500,000+ blocks at $6.60. We think the moves in the sector are entirely political worries, or sector rotation (into energy perhaps) but can't offer much more here. "


In your response to David's question I interpret it that someone(s) sold 2 blocks of 500K shares at $6.60.

I suggest it was someone(s) buying at a low. Especially considering it is rising now. I do not know if they were Black Pool buys.

Could these be viable possibilities?