Investment Q&A

Q: Hi Peter and team,

You mentioned in your answer to Gordon "Bloomberg has a note indicating the debt issue is having a tough selling process, but the financing is there from the backers..." I just want clarification, does this mean if Concordia cannot sell enough of it's debt issue, the "backers" (financial institutions?) WILL FUND the remaining money owing so the acquisition deal can go through?

It is reasonable to assume that if the deal does NOT proceed Concordia's balance sheet would look more favorable in the short term? That they would then have cash on hand to wait for another acquisition or pay down debt? It would seem to me that either scenario (although very volatile in the short term) would be OK for a patient investor in the long run.

You quoted $4.25 USD per share earnings for 2015 before the deal; does Concordia not give an earnings price range (i.e.: $3.75-$4.50 USD) or just a single target number?
I'm also assuming that if the acquisition added say only $0.80 USD per share and you picked up the stock at $35 CAD which looks possible, and it got back to trading at 10 times earning, that you might see a 30%+ return in the next year. Or even a multi-bagger in the next 2 years? Not suggesting or endorsing to load up of course!

I have more questions on Concordia but I will put them in a separate submission. Please and THANK YOU in advance for answering all these questions as accurately and detailed as possible! I think your responses will not only greatly help myself but all your members who have been asking so many questions on this deal. I think I can speak for everyone when I say that I find your services invaluable and irreplaceable!!!

Thanks again, Shane

Q: What are your current thoughts on RUS? I’ve owned it for many years. Largest holding the avg cost is below $15. However, in one account the avg cost is above the current market and I’m thinking of averaging down. They announced that they are redeeming $174.34M of 7.75% debentures (all). What does this do to their overall debt situation? “The redemption of the debentures will be financed through Russel Metals' existing credit facility.”

I assume the market thinks that a dividend reduction is in the works. Currently yielding 7.21%.

This has been a good holding and the management was/is well respected. What am I missing? China syndrome!

Thanks.

Q: Hi Peter, Ryan, & Team
Could you give a current opinion on Lonestar West. The compny seems to be expanding, but could the headwinds sink the ship?

Q: Any thoughts on Garmin after they warned?

Thanks,
Heather

Q: What effect would there be on bond funds such as XHY, XBB and CBO if the US Federal Reserve went to negative interest rates? I hold all in a registered account.

Q: More a question about strategy. It seems my discount broker charges me around 2.5% for the exchange conversion when I buy a US stock, and probably the same for dividend payments and sells. Is there any way I can reduce these charges? Thank you.

Q: I owned Calloway reit and just noticed that it has changed and the name is now Smart Reit. Can you tell me if this REIT is still worth holding and how did the shareholders fare in the exchange.

Regards,
Peggy Boven

Q: Hi there,
Do you think this is a good entry point for XLV.US for a 2 year hold? Any opinion on this ETF?
Thanks,
Kerri

Q: For international diversification for 30% of my portfolio I am thinking about vxc, I know you have recommended vxus in the past but due to currency conversion (U.S. Rates). I was wondering about Vxc. What do you think about this ? Or should I bite the bullet and convert currency to USD? Can you comment on tax implications as well in registered and non registered accounts as well. Thanks.

Q: Hold some Magna and want to buy more. Is this a good time? How concerned should I be if emerging markets and possibly Canada remain in recession?

Q: Any reason the stock does not explode, as expected ?

Q: Hi Team
This company is setting new lows daily with increasing volume.What is the possibility of fraud?I rely a lot on insider buying and at these levels no insider buying.What would change your bullish view on this company.

Q: Would you consider these three reasons sufficient to justify a switch from Pembina Pipeline (PPL) to Enbridge Income Fund (ENF):

(1) ENF's lower valuation on a p/e basis
(2) ENF's recent dip due to its equity offering
(3) ENF's fairly aggressive (and seemingly predictable) dividend policy

I have a pretty good capital gain on PPL but I also have some capital losses I can use to offset Pembina's gain. Do you think its possible/likely ENF can outperform PPL by around 10%?

Lastly, is either company more likely to be to be an acquisition target?

Many thanks.

John

Q: I would suggest that Canoe got the better of this deal.Your comments please

Q: Hi Peter,

Being a retired person looking for safe dividends I have full positions in The Royal Bank, TD and Bank of Nova Scotia. I was wondering about doubling my BNS shares.

My thinking is that the dividend is safe and BNS will probably continue to be around a long time from now and the price I am paying for the shares seem to be cheaper than most other businesses at approximately 11 times earnings. Where for example to buy Telus is approximately 18 times earnings.

(as an FYI, I also have Railroads, utility's, pipelines, telecoms,oil, gold, reits, Life co's)

Warren Buffet says to buy things that are on Sale.

Just wondering what your opinion would be on this thought.

Thank you,
Charlie

Q: Hi Peter,

Can I get your opinion on the $1.16-billion offer to acquire French aluminum components maker Montupet SA in a deal that expands Linamar’s global reach and customer base. The market doesn't seem to like it because the stock is down today.

Correct me if I'm wrong but LNR earnings are growing +30% yoy yet the valuation is only 10x 2015 estimates. I know the market is full of fear but this stock screams bargain to a GARP investor like Peter Lynch.

Q: While most gold stocks (even royalty plays) have come up with the price of gold, Osisko seems range-bound and even weak; is this because the recovery benefits the more marginal players first? Or, if not that, why?

Q: Peter and Team,

I just renewed again for the next 2 years to take advantage of the deal you offered and of course your great service. Thank you again for thinking of us existing members before increasing prices... it helps us feel valued.

Keep up the good work!

Q: Hi,

I am thinking of buying either TD or BNS for my RRSP to buy and hold. I saw that you recommended BNS on BNN the other day so I assume you like it more than TD. Can you briefly tell me why and how the two compare on a valuation basis. I like TD for the US exposure.

Thank you!

Q: In Donville's most recent ROE reporter, he notes that he remains committed to Concordia. He says this:

"...at current valuations, I think the company is
worth a lot more than $50 a share. On our numbers, CXR trades on 4.8x 2016 Cash Earnings and 1.1x BVPS, while earning a 24% ROE."

Are these valuations in line with 5i's research, including the AmCo (Amphidarm) deal?