Investment Q&A

Q: Hi Peter,

Can you please give outlook of Forest/Lumber industry for 1 to 2 year time horizon ? Which month of the year I should consider for the investment, seasonality point of view weakness in the sector ? Which stock you recommend for investment ?

Q: Disappointing article on M/F’s. Top performing funds for 3 yrs that barely missed the top quartile in the other year would be eliminated by this filter. (Aside: I’m not a fan of MFs but don’t like bad analysis.)

Q: Dear Gentlemen,
Can I say that all stocks I5 follows are in the I5 Summary spread sheet ?
Thanks and Best Regards

Q: Hi guys , great service been in for a year plus and am very happy.
Can you project what will happen to dividend flat and dividend growth stocks if we see a bump up in inflation and a rise in interest rates.To the point are dividend stocks overvalued historically, in the relentless search for yield.

Q: What do you think of all the changes going on at loblaw L? It hit a new high today. I really like loblaw finally and am thinking of adding to my position. I know they need to integrate shoppers but with all the joe fresh stores opening up and the dividend money they keep getting from their choice REIT I see nothing but upside on loblaw. Agree?

Q: Good Afternoon Peter and Team,
Just read a blog on Mawer Investment Management's site which discusses "10 Ways That Investors Can Avoid Being Duped". Link is below:
http://www.mawer.com/knowledge-centre/mawer-blog/fraudster-alert-10-ways-investors-can-avoid-being-duped/
I suppose one of the best ways to help avoid being duped is to keep your 5i Membership up to date and pay very close attention to what Peter and/or Ryan have to say about a particular company before you purchase.
Just thought I would share this with other members. Thanks, DL

Q: Hello 5i team,
In early May, I sold all my VRX shares to buy a ½ position in each of CXR and GUD with the view to maintain the ½ position in GUD but to add another ½ in CXR.
CXR has flown up by 26% since then and that is making me hesitate to buy the other ½; my other holdings in the health care sector are a full position in 2 ETFs namely XHC and ZUH; I still have some spare cash so what would you suggest?
Thanks
Tony

Q: I purchased some shares of Martin Rea (MRE) some time ago then purchased about 80% more when there began issues with the Board. My shares are now up by about 60% reflecting, I believe, the resolution of the fight within the Board. When I compare MRE to Magna, I see that MRE is essentially flat over the past year whereas MGA is up about 50%. Since the 50% for Magna is reflected to some degree in its higher PE ratio than MartinRea’s, is it reasonable to expect that MRE still has some opportunities to increase in value at a faster pace than Magna? I have no plans to sell my MRE because of the potential catchup of PE ratio unless you feel that I should be exchanging the MRE for Magna recognizing the quality of Magna versus MRE. My percentage of MRE is only about 2-3% of my entire portfolio. At this time in the auto business cycle would you recommend me increasing the percentage to the 5% range or stay cautious. If you recommend I should buy more again which of the two (or others?) would you recommend? As always, I highly respect your opinion and recommendations even if I don’t always follow them.

Q: I currently have $20,000 cash in my TFSA, presently I hold RY and ESL. I would like your recommendations for a long term hold please.

Q: CNR - results and future look good but is it becoming overvalued?

Q: If I was the risk a relatively small portion of my capital and not be too concerned about losing it, what stocks over about a three year period would you recommend? about 3 to 5 companies iam talking about.

Q: Hello 5i,
I have 2 stocks that are near 52 week highs, but have concerns about.

1) Chr.b Chorus Aviation, I am concerned that they rely on Air Canada for business and should AC decide to go with another carrier or fly these routes themselves it would ruin Chorus.

2) Win.US, Windstream Holdings, there is always concern that they will not be able to maintain the current dividend ($ 1.00 per year)because they have too much debt and declining revenues.

Are my concerns warranted? Would you hold or sell these stocks?

Thanks.

Q: Valeant continues to struggle and its on going battle with Allergen doesn't seem to be going anywhere. You have mentioned previously that even if the Allergen deal goes through, the new company will be risky given the debt load. As I already down on this stock, would now be a good time to sell and purchase Concordia or Knight since the risk profiles may not end up being that different?

Thanks for the superb service.

Paul F.

Q: Hi. PPY chart looks like a set of stairs going to the basement. Oil is up over the last few days.
I just received an answer about Points PTS from 5i which not long ago was $28 plus. You said you were comfortable at $23 to
$24. It got down into the $22 plus today 7/21. Do you think it will be under $20 shortly? If these two mentioned stocks are a sell I would rather take a loss than a bigger one later. I also have CHW Chesswood which seems to be marking time. I am going to try and recoup some of my money by getting into some stocks which are doing quite well lately. TV, CEE and PUR. What is your opinion of them? Thanks
Dennis

Q: Regarding your recent blog on doubling down, would you care to share some potential candidates?

Q: Interesting article "Going Big". How would you suggest someone with the right risk tolerance approach such a strategy ie., would you start with say 5 or so stocks and double up with momentum by maybe selling a weaker performing stock? What stocks might be candidates currently? Thanks, Mike

Q: Hi Peter & all
Most enjoyed your article in the FP this A.M.& concur with your thought process.Please give 3 stocks you believe warrant doubling down in for future growth. Thanks & am enjoying all parts of 5i Research.

Q: Just to help with Shyam's question: I have been living outside Canada for a few years now and investing in stocks through Canadian brokers. The biggest issue is whether you are officially becoming a tax non-resident. If so, some brokers won't want to deal with you, some are ok. They should start withholding tax on Canadian dividends and again, some will and some will not. As an example, TD Discount will do withholding but will only allow a basic cash account (no margin, Canada & US only), Interactive Brokers does not allow non-residents. Registered accounts are not affected by this. I'm not qualified to give any tax advice but this was my experience. Absolutely doable but can be a pain if you actually switch tax residency.

Q: In your most recent blog, you have an article about leading indicators. In this article, the section on PE10 notes that the long term mean value for PE10 is 26.48. Subsequently, the article notes that the PE10 today is 26.48 and that this suggests that stocks are significantly over-valued. This doesn't seem to make sense. If today's PE10 is equal to the mean then stocks are not over-valued. Is the value quoted for today's PE10 correct as it is curiously identical to the mean value which I find suspicious? Thank you.

Q: In an account where I've borrowed to invest ( 3% interest rate) I have cash to deploy after trimming a position. My overall portfolio is underweight in Healthcare, Consumer Non Cyclical, Real Estate and Utilities. I'd appreciate a suggestion in any of the above sectors that may provide share price appreciation with at least a 3% dividend to cover borrowing costs.

Thanks in advance.

John