Investment Q&A

Q: From what I am reading the federal government is going to go significantly increase spending in the next budget [latest number I am seeing is $100 billion]. This will take Canada's debt well over $1T, probably a further downgrade in Canada's debt rating from the current AA. As a retired person would I be correct in thinking a larger part of one's portfolio should be shifted to basic materials including precious metals, to foreign and US bonds and to a healthy cash balance in foreign currencies such as the USD, GBP and EUR?
As you are aware inflation is a killer for people living mainly on pension income so I'm trying to look forward and take action in small steps over time.
Thanks.

Q: I am wondering where you see the Canadian dollar headed in the near term and early 2021. If I am interested in purchasing US equities do you think I should convert now or wait for our dollar to go higher. Since I am also anticipating volatility in the next few months I don't want to miss my chance at converting and acquiring US equities. Thank you!

Q: hi 5i,
Would you please comment on this article;
David Rosenberg: No matter how you slice it, markets are in a bubble of historic proportions; And the higher they are, the harder they fall.
https://financialpost.com/investing/investing-pro/david-rosenberg-no-matter-how-you-slice-it-markets-are-in-a-bubble-of-historic-proportions/wcm/ccfab059-78b1-480e-8b01-b3ae4cefe8d0/

thanks

Q: How worried should we be?
The current government seems determined to bankrupt Canada
The latest headlines:
Parliamentary Budget Officer States, "The federal government has no more than one or two years to rein in the hundreds of billions of dollars in deficits it is wracking up through coronavirus spending, or risk the debt being “unsustainable.”
- And there have been recent reports of plans to increase spending, with CBC News citing one Liberal insider as saying the government plans on spending “on a scale we haven’t seen before.”
- Trudeau plans to roll out an “ambitious green agenda”. He said the country needs to focus on a green economic recovery to climb out from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
- Trudeau has also touted the need for expanded employment supports, including new child care and social spending.

This is very disturbing and seems to confirm a government that is completely out of touch with reality and economics, and leading Canada down a path of debt that our grandchildren will be paying for.

What are you thoughts? How badly could this play out? How concerned should we be?

Q: Hello 5i team,
Let’s say the S&P500 decreases by -15% from its high earlier this week over the next few days or weeks for no specific reason other than stretch valuations, COVID, elections and fiscale stimulus uncertainties. By how much would you expect each of the following stocks (DND, DCBO, LSPD, REAL, DSG, WELL, XBC, VEEV, BYD) to go down (a guesstimate for each)? Among other of your favorites, what other stocks could see an even worst correction?
Thank you for your collaboration, Eric

Q: Any bad news causing the TSX has a big drop today? Specially, the technology sector declined more than 5%, any reason behind?

Q: Hi,
How are the very large gov't deficits ($3T + US / $300B + CDA) being financed at such low interest rates. I understand the FEDs are buying a fair share but how can this be sustainable long term? How can private investors accept long term rates lower than inflation? I know this coul fill a book. Your general comments are appreciated. Thank you!

Q: Good day team,

I'd like for you guys to put on your Nostradamus hats and describe to me what you feel/predict will be the major investment trends over the next 10 years. Do you foresee any major paradigm shifts taking place that folks can really capitalize on? This is all assuming you have a crystal ball ;)

Q: Thoughts on the market that seems to defy gravity? I have to admit I’ve been tempted to sell many times since the rally started and I would have been wrong every time. Would you suggest keep holding?

Q: This is just a big thank you to 5iResearch. I thought I had a nice basket of solid stocks with many dividend payers, including a whole bunch recommended by 5iResearch. My stock portfolio was down 40% in the COVID-19 world and because I'm nearing retirement, I was getting worried and thinking about selling so that I'd least have the 60% left and maybe put it into GICs and try to live off that. But, your team kept advising me and others to hang on, suggesting that selling at that point was the wrong thing to do. I held on. I'm now back up to 100% and more. Thank you!

Q: Hello, inflation has been in the spotlight lately.
1) What kind of stocks would ward off inflation?
2) Are metal stocks good for fighting inflation, and which stocks
would you recommend?
3) What kind of stocks would suffer the most from inflation?

Thanks

Q: Hi, are you willing to comment on a macro issue of the economy? I am perplexed by the housing market where volume of sales and prices seem to be hitting highs in some Canadian urban centers (not Alberta). Lumber companies are doing well. The long term Covid impact on the economy and jobs seems murky at best. Why is there so much confidence in the Canadian housing market? Due to historically low interest rates and some pent up demand? Federal policies designed to prop up the economy? I keep thinking this is all going to end badly if the jobs aren’t there to pay those mortgages. Appreciate your service. You may post this question publicly if you feel it’s Of general interest.

Q: I have been following a gradual dollar-cost averaging type approach to adding cash into the markets over the past several months.
With the US presidential election coming in the fall and a possibility of substantial political volatility there, would you advise deviating from this general approach? ie, is there a substantial chance of this event causing a market drop, that would merit changing a market approach?
Are there specific events that you are watching for that may act as triggers for coming market movements? The one that is holding my attention is Trump's overtures that he may not cede power if he loses, or if the election decision is unclear.

Thanks for your valued input,

Peter

Q: Hello,

I know they don't ring a bell at the bottom (or the top), but I am wondering whether any of the airlines, hotels, cruise lines or restaurants seem compelling right here. Not really the restaurants that are Covid beneficiaries like the pizza joints or Chipotle, more than the ones that have yet to recover. I am very concerned that with more gov't money being plowed into these industries the pre-restructuring shareholders would be wiped out. Thanks.

Q: Peter and team
I unfortunately jumped (like many others) part way down the crash in March.
I simply cannot believe another correction is not coming.
What do you recommend as a safe place to park cash and earn at least a bit of interest other than a GIC while waiting.
Also I know you don't have a crystal ball, but what are your thoughts on a correction ahead.
Thanks
Phil

Q: Hi i5,

According to "Buffett Indicator", when it's in the 70% to 80% range, it is time to throw cash at the market. When it moves above 100%, it's time to lean toward risk-off. Now Market Cap to GDP Ration > 100% means stocks in bubble territory. Do you think Canadian stocks may also in bubble territory? If US in bear market, do you think the above Canadian stocks which I am holding can be survived? Perhaps, should we start to off load which may be in danger during the bear market into cash, or switch among balance or income portfolio. Any suggestion?

Q: Which 5 Canadian and US companies would 5i want to be holding when we get a significant market moving vaccine/treatment announcement? Tech and gold have been powerful during the pandemic but I want to make sure I am considering the right companies to add to provide balance if tech pauses and different sectors are needed for a leg higher. Your favs in each market and how/why you see them reacting to the announcement. Multiple credits are assumed.

Q: I'd like to get your take on a piece in the Globe and Mail yesterday by Scott Barlow related to the Canadian dollar. It's position is that on top of a large rise the loonie has already experienced, we can expect it to go much higher compared to the US$. This obviously doesn't bode well for those with investments in US dollar accounts so I wonder if you think it might be better to shift some of it back to Canada, perhaps into hedged ETFs with US holdings like XMH or VSP.
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/inside-the-market/article-the-strongest-force-behind-the-market-rally-could-push-loonie-much/#comments

Q: Good morning 5i,
I appreciated your recent article, as usual. I find them helpful to understand what is going on in the investing world. You mention that the fang stocks comprise most of the gains over the past few months and that much of the market hasn't kept up. Some people are talking about a rotation out of technology into I suppose, more value oriented stocks. I don't know if this thesis is true. The Fangs seem to keep going up. But, do you think it might be a time to start a switch for a cautious investor? If so, would rsp , an equal weight US market etf, and brk, probably the definition of value, be a good way to approach this change
thanks

Q: Are there any sectors which are interesting from an evaluation point of view which should be added to nowadays? Are there any geographical areas which are in the same situation? Both are for longer term of 5+ years.

Thanks, Mike