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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hi. Your response to Denis on CUS leads me to think you might not be aware that the dividend has been cut.

From the earnings release.

"The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per common share, representing a 27% reduction from the previous quarterly dividend of $0.1368"

Read Answer Asked by Alvyn on May 09, 2014
Q: AVO revisited: The central issue seems to be the CFO departure and whether it is health related. Why doesn't he simply issue a statement confirming or denying this? I noticed the CEO did not mention health in his interview. He actually tap danced around the issue saying "don't read too much into it". He could put an to this as well by issuing a statement that is more direct and less ambiguous.

In all likelihood they have made millions with AVO in part because so many of us have bought the shares. I would think given the circunmstances both of them owe their fellow shareholders an explanation. Otherwise this dark cloud is not going to disappear for quite a while. And innocent shareholders will suffer!!!



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Read Answer Asked by Donald on May 09, 2014
Q: RPI.un Peter and team. How would you explain the crazy price movement on this stock today (May 09) on such small volume? I don't understand.
Thanks
Jon
Read Answer Asked by Jon on May 09, 2014
Q: Can I please have your thoughts on CUS. Long term hold? Thanks!
Read Answer Asked by Denis on May 09, 2014
Q: AVO: a comment, not a question. I added some AVO yesterday after another ex-Sprott analyst, Peter Imhoff, stated that an analyst had informed him that the departure of the AVO CFO was indeed a health issue. Today's analysts' reaction has overall been very positive: see https://app.box.com/s/ktool1zhljj6zhewjw7t
Read Answer Asked by Kurt W on May 09, 2014
Q: Avigilion's growth rate has not slowed, the margins are even better and there has been a huge sell-off. I had a 5% weight in my portfolio which would be lower now at today's prices.
Is this the right time to buy some more and increase the portfolio weight with a lower average price? If you do not agree then would you suggest buy for a short term trade? With such a sharp drop, there has to be a bounce back about 10%? Or should i look to bail out when there is a bounce back? The average time frame that i try to invest for is 12 months.
Read Answer Asked by Rajiv on May 09, 2014
Q: Hi Peter & 5i: This just a comment on the recent Avigilon (AVO) events. I owned it. Now I don’t. I don’t view the quarterly report as a definitive answer to everyone’s worries upon the news of the CFO’s sudden departure, at least not all by itself. Management reported a great quarter but quarterly reports are not usually submitted to an external audit process the way that annual financial reports are. It is at least extremely odd that a CFO would have to exit the scene on the eve of the release of a financial report, when the production and accuracy of that report should presumably have been his responsibility. I have no insight into the facts of what has been going on at Avigilon but at this stage I identify that lack of knowledge as a significant barrier to continued investment. It may be tempting to view this as a situation where a healthy and growing company needed to part ways with a CFO, who for one reason or another was not going to be a long term good fit for the company. But it seems to me to be at least equally likely that a CFO’s departure on the eve of a quarterly report release may indicate that the CFO was not willing to stand behind the numbers and representations that management had chosen to go with in the report. If that is the case, then it could call into question the very report that optimistic investors are using as their basis for remaining invested, or possibly for re-investing or increasing investment after the decline from recent highs. It also seems to me that the downward trend preceding this report was fueled at least in part by earnings in the prior financial report missing the Street’s estimates. I would also look back to the last equity financing, which was upsized midstream, and the need for which has yet to be made clear. Not that it is anything like too late for redemption but 5i’s own answer from a March 18 Q&A was as follows:

“With this deal being upsized now to $100 mm we are somewhat surprised. The company, if nothing is bought, will have way too much cash. We will need to watch the company closely. We will be none too impressed if Avigilon does not utilize its cash hoard within a two or three month period. For now, we will give management the benefit of the doubt, based on past performance and their comments.”

So the most recent events may not turn out to have been the first crack in the egg. Whether or not my speculative concerns turn out to be valid, these kinds of issues can prompt short sellers’ attacks, which can play havoc with an investment thesis and chase people out of a stock at lower levels. So all in all, the risks on AVO seem higher to me, and the very positive report that the CFO did not stick around to present is not the perfect answer. Caveat emptor – at least.
Read Answer Asked by Lance on May 09, 2014
Q: avo
do you know management, and trust them ?
do you believe health issues as a cause for the departure of the CFO?
do think there may have been disagreements causing the departure?
has the recent equity together with the departure raise a red flag?
I am interested in buying more but want to know if you feel all is honest and management has integrity. The market seemed to believed in management and positively assess the results for an hour or so when the stock went up 10%ish but then it lost 6.7% at the close.
your advise would be appreciated
thanks as always .
Yossi
Read Answer Asked by JOSEPH on May 09, 2014
Q: Could you please comment on black diamonds results and if you think conditions look favourable for the company going forward. Is there any other company is a similar space that looks good right now?

Very appreciated, as always
Thanks
Read Answer Asked by Rose on May 08, 2014
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