Q: Prizm Medical had a nice little pop today. Any reason?
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Investment Q&A
Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.
Q: You have previously discussed allocating higher weightings to particular companies with strong growth prospects, a strategy which I like to employ in my own portfolio (i.e. I am comfortable holding as much as 20% of my portfolio in a single name). I have favoured FSV and XTC for the past few years, and have seen great results. I am looking to take profits and bring those two positions down from around 35% of my portfolio to 20% (10 each). Currently DH looks like an attractive candidate for an overweight position of 15%. Is this a company you would be comfortable overweighting heavily? Or are there other companies you would prefer at the moment (maybe 1-2 others)? Risk tolerance wise, I am looking for aggressive growth, and can hold for as long as 5-10 years.
Thanks
Alex
Thanks
Alex
Q: Hi,
Why is it that BEP is rising despite another down turn in oil? And why is it that in a previous question you preferred ENB to BEP? They are such different companies. Finally, would you recommend either of these companies now for a two year hold?
Why is it that BEP is rising despite another down turn in oil? And why is it that in a previous question you preferred ENB to BEP? They are such different companies. Finally, would you recommend either of these companies now for a two year hold?
Q: This is a note of appreciation rather than a question. I bought Enghouse in March 2012 for an average cost of $14 after your A- rating the previous December, for a return of over 400%. Many, many thanks, especially in this market.
Q: I'm quite impressed with the pop today (finally!). Were there a lot of short sellers in this stock?
Q: In a recent interview the concept of a smaller "window" for new release films was discussed. Smaller window being new releases lives on the big screen is getting shorter. Is this a concern for CGX and do they have a strategy to counteract this if it is a concern?
Q: The MD&A provides an explanation for the decrease in revenue.
"Revenue for the Q1 2016 was $15,276,822 a decrease of $4,407,391 or 22.4% from $19,684,213 as
recorded in the first quarter of fiscal 2015. When compared to the three months ending July 31, 2015,
revenue increased by $1,325,387 or 9.5% from $13,951,435. There are a number of factors impacting
revenues between Q1 2016 vs. Q1 2015:
- The revenue growth at TIO and its subsidiaries.
- One-time revenues related to the Company’s kiosk program, which included sales of kiosks to
an existing biller customer and a removal fee charged to another biller customer for the
removal of low transacting kiosks.
- The strengthening of the US dollar from quarter averages of 1.0927 in Q1 2015 to 1.3163 in Q1
2016
- The change in revenue resulting from the migration of TIO’s largest biller’s entire customer
base from one billing platform to another
Page 7 of 18
This migration affects the Company in the following ways:
1- Historically, the vast majority of transactions processed by the Company for this biller carried
a front-end consumer funded convenience fee of $3.00. The Company historically has
recognized this fee as its revenue and shared the proceeds of this fee with both the retail
partner and the biller itself. Once migrated from the CDMA to the GSM platform, the
customer no longer is required to pay such a fee. The Company’s margin is now paid as a
back-end fee directly by the Biller and in the same amount ensuring that the Company’s per
unit economics are not affected as it relates to gross profit generated per transaction.
2- In Q1 FY 2016, an immaterial amount (approximately $10K) of this billing partner’s bill
payment transactions for its branded retail channel (which excludes 3rd party locations)
resulted in the Company collecting a $3.00 front-end fee. As noted in Q4 2015 virtually all of
its gross transaction revenues from this billing partner is earned through back-end fees. A
typical back-end fee from this partner is expected to generate 1/12th the revenue of a typical
front-end fee, however at a significantly higher gross margin percentage. During August 31,
2015, we had less than 3k monthly bill payment transactions with a front-end fee for the
branded retail channel; the legacy CDMA service was disabled at the end of August. This
transition has significantly reduced the recognized gross revenue while having no impact on
gross profit on a per transaction basis as our largest billing partner’s transaction volume
reached the maximum discount level allowed in the tiered pricing structure. This zero
consumer fee structure may also incentivize more customers to pay using the Company’s
services.
3- As a result of this revenue model transition, TIO experienced a decline in transaction revenues
generated by its largest billing partner from Q4 FY 2014 through to Q1 FY 2016. However, at
the same time the gross margin percentage of the revenues generated by this partner
increased significantly to a range of 90-95%. Due to this billers growth, TIO saw transactions
and total gross profit dollars generated by its largest billing increase despite the significant
reduction in gross transaction revenues. Throughout this transition, investors and analysts
were reminded to monitor the total transactions, gross margin percentage and absolute gross
profit generated by TIO as the best indicators of growth in TIO’s business."
"Revenue for the Q1 2016 was $15,276,822 a decrease of $4,407,391 or 22.4% from $19,684,213 as
recorded in the first quarter of fiscal 2015. When compared to the three months ending July 31, 2015,
revenue increased by $1,325,387 or 9.5% from $13,951,435. There are a number of factors impacting
revenues between Q1 2016 vs. Q1 2015:
- The revenue growth at TIO and its subsidiaries.
- One-time revenues related to the Company’s kiosk program, which included sales of kiosks to
an existing biller customer and a removal fee charged to another biller customer for the
removal of low transacting kiosks.
- The strengthening of the US dollar from quarter averages of 1.0927 in Q1 2015 to 1.3163 in Q1
2016
- The change in revenue resulting from the migration of TIO’s largest biller’s entire customer
base from one billing platform to another
Page 7 of 18
This migration affects the Company in the following ways:
1- Historically, the vast majority of transactions processed by the Company for this biller carried
a front-end consumer funded convenience fee of $3.00. The Company historically has
recognized this fee as its revenue and shared the proceeds of this fee with both the retail
partner and the biller itself. Once migrated from the CDMA to the GSM platform, the
customer no longer is required to pay such a fee. The Company’s margin is now paid as a
back-end fee directly by the Biller and in the same amount ensuring that the Company’s per
unit economics are not affected as it relates to gross profit generated per transaction.
2- In Q1 FY 2016, an immaterial amount (approximately $10K) of this billing partner’s bill
payment transactions for its branded retail channel (which excludes 3rd party locations)
resulted in the Company collecting a $3.00 front-end fee. As noted in Q4 2015 virtually all of
its gross transaction revenues from this billing partner is earned through back-end fees. A
typical back-end fee from this partner is expected to generate 1/12th the revenue of a typical
front-end fee, however at a significantly higher gross margin percentage. During August 31,
2015, we had less than 3k monthly bill payment transactions with a front-end fee for the
branded retail channel; the legacy CDMA service was disabled at the end of August. This
transition has significantly reduced the recognized gross revenue while having no impact on
gross profit on a per transaction basis as our largest billing partner’s transaction volume
reached the maximum discount level allowed in the tiered pricing structure. This zero
consumer fee structure may also incentivize more customers to pay using the Company’s
services.
3- As a result of this revenue model transition, TIO experienced a decline in transaction revenues
generated by its largest billing partner from Q4 FY 2014 through to Q1 FY 2016. However, at
the same time the gross margin percentage of the revenues generated by this partner
increased significantly to a range of 90-95%. Due to this billers growth, TIO saw transactions
and total gross profit dollars generated by its largest billing increase despite the significant
reduction in gross transaction revenues. Throughout this transition, investors and analysts
were reminded to monitor the total transactions, gross margin percentage and absolute gross
profit generated by TIO as the best indicators of growth in TIO’s business."
Q: I am looking for solid Canadian dividend payers with a large proportion of their income/cashflow (40%+) from US and International operations.I already own BNS,PWF,SLF,GWO,TRP,EB,ENF,VET
BIP.UN,BEP.UN,BPY.UN and DH. I believe all of these fit the bill - do you agree and can you suggest some others. Many thanks
BIP.UN,BEP.UN,BPY.UN and DH. I believe all of these fit the bill - do you agree and can you suggest some others. Many thanks
Q: Could you please comment on ESL's fourth quarter and year-end earnings release? It looks very good to me.
Thank you, Peter
Thank you, Peter
Q: hi folks:
was todays announcement with mattel expected and more so, could it be considered a 'game changer'
thanks
was todays announcement with mattel expected and more so, could it be considered a 'game changer'
thanks
Q: I'm constructing an income portfolio and I'm looking for long term stability.
With Brookfield Renewable Energy, part of their dividend is comprised for a Return OF Capital. This is essentially giving back to shareowners a piece of the assets. I don't see how this is sustainable for any company, let along one that has a lot of CAPEX involved as it is a utility.
Can you help describe why management has chosen this course of action and what's the long term plan for the dividend?
With Brookfield Renewable Energy, part of their dividend is comprised for a Return OF Capital. This is essentially giving back to shareowners a piece of the assets. I don't see how this is sustainable for any company, let along one that has a lot of CAPEX involved as it is a utility.
Can you help describe why management has chosen this course of action and what's the long term plan for the dividend?
Q: Hi,
In further response to Michael's question on Boyd, the analyst's report on Boyd that you mentioned essentially said that Boyd was over-valued.
The following is an excerpt of that report, but please post only if you consider it appropriate to do so and feel free to redact the size should you choose:
Future EBITDA growth for Boyd Group Income Fund (BYD.UN-T) is "set to slow from very high levels as large acquisition opportunities become more scarce," said RBC Dominion Securities analyst Ben Holton.
Cautioning that the open-ended mutual fund trust's valuation is currently near the high end of its multi-year range, Mr. Holton said he's "sensitive to the risk of multiple compression." He initiated coverage with a "sector perform" rating.
"BYD has been consolidating the North American auto-collision-repair market, and has more than quadrupled its revenue base since 2010," he said. "However, we expect the pace of acquisitions will slow, and with it, the pace of EBITDA growth."
He added: "The roll up of Multi Store Operations (MSOs) has driven consolidation in the industry, but these opportunities are becoming more scarce and more expensive. The slowing of this growth channel is significant as 70 per cent of the stores BYD added since 2009 came directly from MSO acquisitions. We believe organic growth will remain strong and single store acquisitions will accelerate, but are unlikely to make up for the decline in MSO activity. Further, the foreign exchange tailwinds benefiting 2015 can’t be counted on in future years. Specifically, we forecast revenue will grow at a 13-per-cent [compound annual growth rate] and EBITDA at a 16-per-cent CAGR over the next five years, still solid, but a significant deceleration from the 35-per-cent and 40-per-cent respective CAGRs seen since 2010."
Mr. Holton set a price target of $72. The analyst average is $77.22.
"BYD is trading at near record forward multiples, which we believe is at odds with our forecast of slowing growth," he said. "Accordingly, we see the risk of multiple compression. Specifically, BYD has traded in a range of 10-12x [next 12 months] EBITDA since mid-2013, though through this period BYD was growing EBITDA at a pace of [approximately] 50 per cent annually. Through this period, we also believe investors were paying up for potential MSO acquisitions that were not explicitly in forecasts. BYD is still trading at the upper end of this range, despite forecasts for slowing growth as MSO acquisitions become scarce."
In further response to Michael's question on Boyd, the analyst's report on Boyd that you mentioned essentially said that Boyd was over-valued.
The following is an excerpt of that report, but please post only if you consider it appropriate to do so and feel free to redact the size should you choose:
Future EBITDA growth for Boyd Group Income Fund (BYD.UN-T) is "set to slow from very high levels as large acquisition opportunities become more scarce," said RBC Dominion Securities analyst Ben Holton.
Cautioning that the open-ended mutual fund trust's valuation is currently near the high end of its multi-year range, Mr. Holton said he's "sensitive to the risk of multiple compression." He initiated coverage with a "sector perform" rating.
"BYD has been consolidating the North American auto-collision-repair market, and has more than quadrupled its revenue base since 2010," he said. "However, we expect the pace of acquisitions will slow, and with it, the pace of EBITDA growth."
He added: "The roll up of Multi Store Operations (MSOs) has driven consolidation in the industry, but these opportunities are becoming more scarce and more expensive. The slowing of this growth channel is significant as 70 per cent of the stores BYD added since 2009 came directly from MSO acquisitions. We believe organic growth will remain strong and single store acquisitions will accelerate, but are unlikely to make up for the decline in MSO activity. Further, the foreign exchange tailwinds benefiting 2015 can’t be counted on in future years. Specifically, we forecast revenue will grow at a 13-per-cent [compound annual growth rate] and EBITDA at a 16-per-cent CAGR over the next five years, still solid, but a significant deceleration from the 35-per-cent and 40-per-cent respective CAGRs seen since 2010."
Mr. Holton set a price target of $72. The analyst average is $77.22.
"BYD is trading at near record forward multiples, which we believe is at odds with our forecast of slowing growth," he said. "Accordingly, we see the risk of multiple compression. Specifically, BYD has traded in a range of 10-12x [next 12 months] EBITDA since mid-2013, though through this period BYD was growing EBITDA at a pace of [approximately] 50 per cent annually. Through this period, we also believe investors were paying up for potential MSO acquisitions that were not explicitly in forecasts. BYD is still trading at the upper end of this range, despite forecasts for slowing growth as MSO acquisitions become scarce."
Q: Hi Guys,
Are there any fundamental changes at Gamehost to cause the current drop in price to $9.00?
Is it only an "oil problem" or is debt becoming a problem with less earnings and therefore less cashflow?
Is the dividend at risk?
Thanks for the input.
John
Are there any fundamental changes at Gamehost to cause the current drop in price to $9.00?
Is it only an "oil problem" or is debt becoming a problem with less earnings and therefore less cashflow?
Is the dividend at risk?
Thanks for the input.
John
Q: This stock is down over $9.00 today. I don't understand why in down days on the market this stock moves up and when we have an up day in excess of 220 points the stock drop. What am I missing here
Thanks
Thanks
Q: your comments on the drop in Boyd's share price today please.
Q: Whats your opinions on the news of adding 32 new restaurant to the royalty pool , it should to their revenues quite alot
thanks
thanks
Q: Hello team, Did you manage to find out why the big drop on WSP?
Thank you!
Thank you!
Q: Any news that might explain the recent drop? Thanks.
Q: Any latest thoughts on ZRE vs holding CSH.UN/HR.UN/CAR.UN and IIP.UN? Thanks.Paul
Q: Do you think their dividend will remain intact? Looking back at 2008/09 BMO says they lost over $4 per share and the dividend was cut substantially. Was what happened then likely to occur again,(I didn't follow ACQ back then so maybe the company has changed dramatically?...) given BNN just ran an article about household debt levels and the fact that oil is becoming insanely low? I know management said the dividend would remain the same, but you can't really trust that, because if they were to say anything else people would have started to panic and sell immediately, and they still needed to raise capital after the last earnings report. Thanks