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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: COLD is included in “RBC's Top 30 Global Ideas- Q1 2021” ( released 4 Jan 2021). I compared COLD to COR and COR struck me as a better investment. RBC rates COLD Outperform and COR as sector perform. I read through the usual blurbs and recent year financials as well as generally available projections. CFRA rates both as Hold (neutral). I looked through Thomson Reuters and I think COLD has higher ratings in general (I am not sure as it is difficult to tell when the TR reports on each were actually updated).

It is unlikely RBC Capital would have picked COLD as a global best idea without studying COLD’s peers. I conclude therefore that I must be missing something. Which one of the two do YOU see as the better investment? (Important : If neither, please give names of OTHER US Industrial REITs that you prefer OVER the above-noted COLD and COR).
Read Answer Asked by Adam on January 13, 2021
Q: Hi,

I hold SMU (up 100%) and NWH (up 40%). COLD, however, has come up as recommended from a few places I get my ideas from and I'm considering initiating a position in it. To free up some funds I need to dump either SU or NWH and am curious which one you would exit and why? I'm more interested in capital growth than dividend and generally hold mid-long term.

Cam.
Read Answer Asked by Cameron on November 16, 2020
Q: Re todays acquisition announcement I assume this should prove to be a positive move for the company, and I assume the share issue is needed to complete the takeover. However, I am puzzled and do not understand the forward purchase arrangements that appear to accompany the deal. Can you explain the latter please and comment on their acquisition. Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Mike on October 15, 2020
Q: Thank you for your response to my previous question. I still find the issues involved puzzling. Stating the apparently conflicting issues i) while the same store growth is expected to be modest at around 2% the overall revenue growth appears to have been closer to 20% (for 2019) and ii) while analyst share price expectations have been rising notably of late that has occurred in the face of reduced earnings expectations; according to First Call these have been declining modestly but consistently for at least the past year.
The rationale for investing in this company was at least in part based on its competence as evidenced by the share price growth and its participation in an industry sector that offered significant opportunities for growth as a result of substantial sector fragmentation, to which they appear to be willing and able to respond. I subsequently see that COLD also has substantial industry participation both in the US as well as overseas, and promotes its competence in its management and operating systems. I also see that the REIT sector is currently under pressure and, or perhaps despite, that the cost of capital should be low as a result of all time low prevailing rates of interest. The obvious question is whether the current valuation represents a significant entry opportunity for a company which is doing well but still sorting out the bugs resulting from its growing interests. I would be interested in your response.
Read Answer Asked by Mike on September 18, 2020
Q: How do you view this company's prospects and current valuation? While analysts expectations appear to have been on the rise in recent weeks the price has been soggy for some while, and I cannot determine the basis for the share price appreciation seen beginning in early 2018 through Q3 2019. The company's prospects seem now in question despite apparent growth in the underlying demand for their services.
Read Answer Asked by Mike on September 17, 2020
Q: I bought DIR.un and WIR.un , the industrial REITs based partly on NAV, FFO, and dividend growth and because I had hardly any Canadian investments. However , on the said REITs , perhaps my calculations were incorrect. Both are down significantly notwithstanding that eCommerce has grown rapidly. I also have COR and COLD on close watch. I expected industrial warehouses and logistics to have a reasonably good growth trajectory. Do you think that growth in this type of company will be flat for the next year or two? To what would you attribute the weakness evident in the valuation of these companies that should, one would think, behave very differently from , say apartment REITs? Would you favor COLD or COR over the Canadian-listed ones and if yes, your reasons other those obvious in financial metrics?
Read Answer Asked by Adam on September 02, 2020
Q: HiTeam:

Good day!

I am holding SCHW & SBNY with some 30% loss, and COLD some 7% loss. Should I let go the first two and hold the COLD?

Please take the points for each one as I have 3 companies in question.

Thank you.

Louisa
Read Answer Asked by LOUISA on April 17, 2020
Q: How do you rate these 3 REITs, Cold being an American Reit that’s had successful growth in the states compared to Car.un and IIP.un in Canada?

Thnx for the awesome service!!👍
Read Answer Asked by David on February 14, 2020
Q: I note in your reply to Mark today you say that COLD is expensive; the question from an investment standpoint is how expensive are they? It seems that earnings expectations are all over the place for fiscal '19 and '20. First Call seems to expect over $1 in '20, TR 0.67, while PE ratios presented are anything between almost 300 and 130, which doesn't compute, and on top of that should COLD be evaluated as a REIT AFFO or other criteria or as an ordinary industrial equity? I also note that COLD has failed to meet earnings expectations for the past four consecutive quarters.

Taking into account actual earnings and volume growth could you please fill in some of these gaps and provide a basis for reasoned evaluation of this company's share pricing. The price run down in recent days could provide an attractive entry into an enterprise which appears to have significant prospects because of industry needs as well as fragmentation. Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Mike on November 11, 2019
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