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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: I've recently sold my holdings and am entirely in cash. I'm wondering whether I should wait for a correction and take advantage of some bargains or whether I'm better off getting my money invested and not worrying about marketing timing. I realize you cannot "crystal ball gaze" but I'm interested in your comments regarding staying in cash and waiting for an opportunity to present itself vs. getting back into a portfolio. Thank you.
Read Answer Asked by Jason on November 20, 2017
Q: Hi everyone at 5i! I need a clarification about bonds. I have heard that bonds are facing head winds with the anticipated increase in interest rates. I have a portfolio of 60% stocks and 40% fixed. My fixed component consists of GICs, bonds, some preferreds and ETFs of XHY, CBO and CPD. These ETFs pay me a nice dividend monthly. My strategy is to invest my monthly dividend into the ETF that is lagging to get the greatest value for my dollar. Considering that the value of these ETFs may fall ( hopefully just in the short term) would you consider this an ok strategy or would you refrain from putting more money in bonds and preferreds. Cheers, Tamara
Read Answer Asked by Tamara on November 13, 2017
Q: Hello Folks:
Thank you again for your terrific service!
I am a 71 yr. old investor who has never kept any amount of cash in our accounts.
I feel there may be a serious negative re-evaluation approaching for world
markets; therefore considering moving to a half cash position, as we rely on returns for a good portion of our income. It is a difficult choice as dividend and rising equity prices have been very good since the recession, however nothing remains stagnant.
Our portfolio is primarily large cap US stocks and some quality dividend paying Canadian equities.
As always, I appreciate your point of view and suggestions
Brian
Read Answer Asked by Brian on November 07, 2017
Q: Great new website.

My question is about interest rates. I saw an interview recently discussing interest rate cycles, stating that we have have had 30 years of interest rate decreases, that interest rates have now bottomed and we have begun a long term trend of rate increase. The guest also said that the last long term rate increase cycle was during the 1950s and 1960s. During that 20 year period, the interest payments on bonds were mostly offset by capital losses, resulting in a net return of less than a half of 1 percent annually over 20 years while stocks returned 19% annually over that period. In your opinion, what would be the catalyst for a repeat of this scenario? Does this mean that retirees should shun bonds in favour of stocks even though the risk might be higher?

Thanks and great work
Read Answer Asked by Hans on November 02, 2017
Q: I try to maintain a diversified portfolio. However, I am wondering when you refer to owing "materials" what role metals and other mineable resources should play. For example, I tend not to own metals or mining stocks but instead, I choose to invest in other materials such as chemicals (MX) or lumber (SJ) (and maybe even including CCL as your portfolios list it as materials).

Am I getting "proper" diversification this way or should one also invest in gold, silver, copper assets etc?

Appreciate your insight.

Paul F.
Read Answer Asked by Paul on November 02, 2017
Q: The question of what to do when one is worried about the possibility of a sharp market correction often arises. In the past you have proposed increasing the portfolio allocation to cash. As a complement to that strategy, what about tilting the portfolio more toward low beta (less than 0.5, say) stocks? I’m thinking of stocks like L, ECI, CSH.UN, KBL, SJ, SLF. How much protection - qualitatively speaking -do you think that would provide against the possibility of a sharp correction of, say, 10-15%?
Read Answer Asked by Philip on October 11, 2017
Q: I have just sold my sailboat to a US buyer so they proceeds are in USD and my wife has had primarily US clients lately. To integrate this into my portfolio and maintain by target balance about 75% of it needs to be converted to CAD.

I know forex is difficult to predict but would appreciate if the CAD run-up is overdone or if it is supported by predicted pace of interest rate hikes in Canada vs the US and likely to maintain its current level for a while.

I can do 3 transactions to meet the threshold for reduced exhange costs at my online brokerage and was planning 1 this week and then 2-3 months down the road to do the next.
Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Jeffrey on September 20, 2017
Q: If you had two or three hundred thousand dollars (not in an RRSP or TFSA), and you wanted to grow it aggressively for a period of about three to five years, how would you invest it, and what kind of a return would you expect? Would your answer be different if it was only fifty thousand? Assume that I don't need any income from the investment, that I have maximal tolerance for risk, and that I've already tried tulips but I was 380 years too late. Thanks.
Read Answer Asked by Brian on September 20, 2017
Q: According to the experts in seasonal investing, September is statistically the worst time for markets, but then things start to pick up again later in October and into November. Would you let this consideration influence your investment decisions? I have capital to deploy but I'm wondering if I should wait another month or so before I start new positions. Also, are foreign markets (Europe, EM, Japan, etc) subject to the same September curse, on average? Thanks very much.
Read Answer Asked by Brian on September 13, 2017
Q: Hi Peter and Associates,

I hear some talk of tax selling as early as August? Some professionals speak of setting up their portfolios to avoid and/or to take advantage of year end tax selling pressures? Some sectors and/or specific stocks have seen modest to significant declines this year and risk seeing above average volumes of yearend tax loss selling?

Many experts do not suggest trying to time the market but also talk of good entry points to initiate a position if not starting with partial ones to begin. Then there are those who factor in seasonality or other technical indicators. Without wanting to sound pessimistic, more than a few guests on business programs express caution, have increased cash weighting to have dry powder in reserve.Markets are not seen as cheap but opinions vary as what to do?

Bottom line, market corrections are part of reality and one has not occurred in some time? What percentage cash might be viewed as a reasonable cushion for a middle of the road risk investor with a 65/35 (Equity/ Fixed Income) objective who would prefer to reduce equity exposure by building up some cash reserves at this time? What suggestions might you have in response to the above and specifically, what reduction in equity exposure might be reasonable and/or sufficient to have substance? Assume a 5% weight in gold forms part of the overall strategy and a sufficiently large portfolio to provide diversification and no over weightings within it.

Fundamentally, are there any specific strategies an investor might use or at least consider in the last months of any year and more specifically this year?

Thank you.

Mike
Read Answer Asked by Michael on September 01, 2017