Q: The other day Jeff Rubin, on BNN, talked about his 2008 thesis for $200 oil; and how the shift in world oil industry dynamics has altered the competitive landscape and hence oil prices. His current position is that oil prices will continue to fall until the high or highest cost producers cut back or shut down production, namely and mostly, Canadian Oil Sands players; but also US shale plays as well. Until these companies do cut back he expects oil prices to continue down. Where the bottom is no one knows.
In his mind, it is naive to look to Saudi Arabia (the low cost producer) to cut back at all.
Do you agree with his reasoning?
And do any oil sands or shale companies come to mind that might capitulate and reduce production?
Thanks again.
In his mind, it is naive to look to Saudi Arabia (the low cost producer) to cut back at all.
Do you agree with his reasoning?
And do any oil sands or shale companies come to mind that might capitulate and reduce production?
Thanks again.