Q: I am a retired, conservative dividend-income buy-and-hold investor, with a pension, CPP, and annuities. I am looking to top up a half position in Fortis. Even though I am not a "market timer", I am looking at different options:
1. Just top up now
2. Wait for the Fed to raise USA interest rates in December. Theoretically, this would cause FTS to sell off, so I could buy it cheaper. However, roughly 45% of FTS is non-Canadian. So in this scenario, wouldn't the USA dollar increase relative to the CDN $, effectively making it more expensive to buy FTS (I am buying it on the TSX)?
What are the interest rate and exchange rate impacts and are they significant enough to cause me to avoid option #1, above?
The FTS metrics look really good right now (P/BV = 1.3, P/E = 16.2, P/S = 1.7, P/CF = 6.4). I'm tempted to ignore the interest and exchange rate issues and just top it up.
Your thoughts?
Thanks, Steve
1. Just top up now
2. Wait for the Fed to raise USA interest rates in December. Theoretically, this would cause FTS to sell off, so I could buy it cheaper. However, roughly 45% of FTS is non-Canadian. So in this scenario, wouldn't the USA dollar increase relative to the CDN $, effectively making it more expensive to buy FTS (I am buying it on the TSX)?
What are the interest rate and exchange rate impacts and are they significant enough to cause me to avoid option #1, above?
The FTS metrics look really good right now (P/BV = 1.3, P/E = 16.2, P/S = 1.7, P/CF = 6.4). I'm tempted to ignore the interest and exchange rate issues and just top it up.
Your thoughts?
Thanks, Steve