Q: I understand the general idea of convertible debentures, but specific cases are puzzling to me. For example, AXL.DB.B, maturing June 30, 2017, has a conversion price of $1.70/s, but the stock is currently trading at around $0.07/s.
The debentures are substantially discounted; at today's price, $10000 face value would cost only $4750. But given the conversion price of $1.70/s, the 5882 (10000/1.70) shares you would receive in 2017 would be worth only $412 (assuming the stock price remained the same.)
Yes, the loss of conversion value is somewhat offset by the yield; with its discounted price, AXL.DB.B currently shows a yield-to-maturity of around 50%. But this only nets the purchaser around $2375 ($4750 @50%); $412 plus $2375 is still well-below cost.
If just breaking-even requires a ~600% recovery in the stock price, what, then, could be the incentive to buy the debentures? Or is there an 'at-par' conversion option I'm missing here?
The debentures are substantially discounted; at today's price, $10000 face value would cost only $4750. But given the conversion price of $1.70/s, the 5882 (10000/1.70) shares you would receive in 2017 would be worth only $412 (assuming the stock price remained the same.)
Yes, the loss of conversion value is somewhat offset by the yield; with its discounted price, AXL.DB.B currently shows a yield-to-maturity of around 50%. But this only nets the purchaser around $2375 ($4750 @50%); $412 plus $2375 is still well-below cost.
If just breaking-even requires a ~600% recovery in the stock price, what, then, could be the incentive to buy the debentures? Or is there an 'at-par' conversion option I'm missing here?