Q: There seems to be significant concern/fear/terror regarding the rather sudden and substantial drop in share prices of so many of these stocks (VRX,CRX,CSU, ESL, PHM etc); and the possibility of a change of "sentiment" and sector rotation out of these areas. If I read your replies accurately it sounds like you are saying "we don't know" - which of course makes sense. I am wondering though if there is a way to get some sort of sense of whether or not we are at a tipping point in these sectors.
With that in mind, my thesis is that evidence or indicators of sentiment and sector rotation could take the form of large trading volumes, particularly the big hedge funds taking profits and unloading these stocks.
Us lemmings tend to play follow the leader - often too late, i.e. after waiting and subsequently incurring even larger losses - and sell our shares out of desperation or despair!
If there is any logic to the thesis of hedge fund or other large fund trading activity?
If there is, do you have a way to monitor unusually large trading volumes in these sectors?
So, bottom line: if there is evidence of sentiment change or rotation out .... I want out too and now in order to avoid further losses.
Thanks for your help and guidance with this perplexing issue; and decision making.
With that in mind, my thesis is that evidence or indicators of sentiment and sector rotation could take the form of large trading volumes, particularly the big hedge funds taking profits and unloading these stocks.
Us lemmings tend to play follow the leader - often too late, i.e. after waiting and subsequently incurring even larger losses - and sell our shares out of desperation or despair!
If there is any logic to the thesis of hedge fund or other large fund trading activity?
If there is, do you have a way to monitor unusually large trading volumes in these sectors?
So, bottom line: if there is evidence of sentiment change or rotation out .... I want out too and now in order to avoid further losses.
Thanks for your help and guidance with this perplexing issue; and decision making.