Q: Good Afternoon.
A general question about the iron ore sector, where do you think the bottom is? The price seems to be holding around $80/ton down from $190 in 2011. I know the big 3 have been ramping up production to drive their costs down even further and as a result of course oversupplying the market. I believe the big 3 (Rio/BHP/Vale) control about 70% of the seaborne market and that market share is likley climbing as we speak as they put the high cost producers out of business. Eventually I would think once they capture further market share they would rein in some supply and the price would bounce back (make much more for their shareholders @ $125 vs $80 iron)). I know you are momentum investors and would prefer buying 52 highs as opposed to lows but any insight into this very cyclical business would be appreciated. There are some juniors now trading at cash so lots of opportunities energing for year-end buying perhaps. Thanks
A general question about the iron ore sector, where do you think the bottom is? The price seems to be holding around $80/ton down from $190 in 2011. I know the big 3 have been ramping up production to drive their costs down even further and as a result of course oversupplying the market. I believe the big 3 (Rio/BHP/Vale) control about 70% of the seaborne market and that market share is likley climbing as we speak as they put the high cost producers out of business. Eventually I would think once they capture further market share they would rein in some supply and the price would bounce back (make much more for their shareholders @ $125 vs $80 iron)). I know you are momentum investors and would prefer buying 52 highs as opposed to lows but any insight into this very cyclical business would be appreciated. There are some juniors now trading at cash so lots of opportunities energing for year-end buying perhaps. Thanks