Investment Q&A

Q: Peter; I thought this was very interesting - particularly the performance number. Publish if you wish .RodThere are interesting items from a JP Morgan report on concentrated stock ownership called The Agony and the Ecstasy: Since 1980, 320 of the S&P 500 companies have been deleted for business distress reasons, 40 percent of all stocks have suffered a permanent 70 percent plus decline from their peak value, the median stock in the Russell 3000 index was down 54 percent, and two thirds of all stocks underperformed versus the Russell 3000 Index and for 40 percent, their absolute returns were negative. Those are tough statistics. Further, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices, and reported by Barron’s, just 18 percent of large-cap managers have outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 10 years.

Q: Hi 5i,

I stumbled on Presm Watsa thoughts about retirement in today's Globe and Mail. Basically, he is close to see a new 1929 global crash happening rather sooner than later, with 2 ulterior decades of losses and tears. Quote follows:

In the past few years, Mr. Watsa has been troubled by a disconnect he sees between stock markets and the underlying economic instability of countries around the world, as well as the implication that deflationary conditions could have on markets. Fairfax cranked up the hedges on its equity portfolio to 100 per cent this year from 88 per cent at the end of 2015 – that’s how concerned management is about a possible financial storm.

For older investors, there might not be time to recover from the damage. Mr. Watsa’s worry is that a market downturn could mimic the stock market crash of 1929, where it took more than two decades for the Dow Jones to reach precrisis levels. And unlike the 2008 financial crisis, Mr. Watsa said, central banks are now mostly out of ammunition. “We just want to make sure people realize there are risks.”

As he is now 100% hedged (which is what, more exactly), for us, small investors, there is something similar that we could envision? Maybe to put all our money in Fairfax, and live happily ever after?!

Thanks as always for all you do for us.

Q: What date does Clearwater Seafoods CLR report?

Q: I am losing a lot on a multi year holding in Husky. I could use the capital loss deduction. What would be advantageous to buy to replace it and keep my exposure to recovering sector. Or go somewhere else altogether? Dividend or not. Absolute return is the goal.
Thank you.

Q: I have $ 5500 in cash in my TFSA. I currently hold AW-UN plus GIC's in my TFSA. What would you suggest for the $ 5500 in cash, I may need the money in 6 years.

Shirley

Q: You don't appear too keen on AC. Several Other research reports suggest the stock is a buy and that the target is $16+. So, I bought some at $7.35 It has come up a bit. I plan to hold as long as oil stays reasonably low. Any thoughts, and thanks, Subrata

Q: Good Morning Peter,
I have $8000 of Advantex Marketing Senior SEC non-convertible debentures RSTD 05/01/2014 Coupon 12% maturing 30 Sep 2016 left over from my former advisor in my RRSP. Any thoughts on what if anything I should do with these ? What will likely happen when they mature ? Thank you. Only post if there's value to anyone else.

Q: Phil asked a question about Transforce. It has been a disappointing hold for me as well, at least in terms of share price. Phil may wish to know that the Globe reported on March 4 that the CEO recently purchased just under $1.3M worth of shares personally. I believe this is something separate from the company's dutch auction purchase of shares. For me I am holding another year at least.
Good luck to Phil whatever he decides.

Q: Please comment on their results out today. Do you think the downdraft in the stock will continue and did CIBC predict the $8 price correctly

Q: I see you like this company over EMP.A which reported bad earnings due to write-off of goodwill from their safeway purchase & sales down in Western Canada due to low oil - I think this is just an excuse - the reason is probably poor integration - people need to eat! It seems to me that from a long-term perspective ( I am an investor not a trader ) EMP.a might present a better opportunity than ATD because: PEG ratio 1, PE to ROE is 1 - pay a dollar for a dollar of earnings, growth through acquisition with its inherent risk & virtually no dividend - I have a problem buying a stock that does not pay at least 3% with a history of increasing.
This situation reminds me of L when they had issues which brought their stock down- finally got their logistics system on track - stock steady increase over last three years.
Comments please.

Q: Empire got hit today with the Safeway deal. Will they recover? A guess on timeframe? Could this be a time to add to a position?

Q: Peter and Team:
Currently down about 30% on this one. Thinking of taking the loss and rotating out into another company in similar sector. Any suggestions from your BE Portfolio. Also are you aware what is happening with the share buyback process? I am in it for a 5 year+ hold and don't mind waiting for TFI, but was thinking there might be something "better" as I try to clean up my portfolio.

Thanks as always.

Phil

Q: I am thinking about purchasing MRU and from your answers to other's questions you seem to like it well enough. My concern is that I also own ATD.B & back in Oct/15 you stated that Metro owns some ATD shares (I think you said 22% of ATD). I would like to know what %age of the Metro price depends on ATD. If you are able to give me a number I would appreciate it, and would also be interested in where to find the information.

Q: Epic collapse by Performance sports. Under $4 with a strong rebound yesterday. My question is whether this company is an obvious rebound candidate - even if only as a target for a larger company to buy for something in the 8-10 range.

Is this a solid trade to capitalize on an over reaction in the market or am I better off playing roulette?

Thanks

Q: What is your opinion of the Q4 earnings report, and how does it compare to that of MRE?

Q: Hello, I have this left over from the days of having a broker/advisor. This fund has a management fee of 1.6% and an MER of 1.84%. It appears to be a "fund of funds" and and the information presents that it is to emphasize income wiht some potential for capital appreciation. The returns have been (starting in 2011) 4.8%, 4.3%, 2.9%, 6.9% and .1%. Seems the return/performance has been lacklustre at best and would it not be better for me to put some of the monies in a bond etf and the rest in either a stock etf or individual equities? Recommendations for the bond etf? You thoughts would be appreciated. Thank you. Bill

Q: Goodmorning. What r ur thoughts on this company as a long term hold for a tfsa for a conservative investor?

Q: Hello to everyone at 5i

With acknowledgment to the variations in the businesses in each of KXS, CSU and GOOGL, is there a clear winner amongst these 3 for a long term hold?

Thanks very much

Q: I have noticed different terminology used by diff firms when reporting performance. BMO (personal acct) uses 'avg ann compound rate of rtn'; RBC provides 'annualized' 'calendar' or 'cumulative'; Mawer uses annual or annualized (one can select); Invesco just reports 'performance'; Templeton reports 'annual or calendar perf'; G&M provides 1 and 5 yr total returns (compound % rtn) and a 3 yr compound % rtn. I tried using the internet/Investopedia with limited success. My question is: is "CAGR" (cmpd ann growth rate) the same as "annualized return" which is same as "compound % return"? Is there a resource that you know of that makes some sense of the different terminologies?
PS: I like to use the G&M as they provide perf numbers (as well as Div Gwth RAte, PEG ratios, etc) for stocks, ETFs, MFs on the same site, there should be some measure of consistency, thus facilitating an apple to apple comparison.

Q: hi,

do you have the earning release date and the consensus estimate?

thanks,