Investment Q&A

Q: Hi 5i,

Further to your reply to Clarence's question about indicators for a market correction, could you please provide links or info on where/how to track those indicators?

Also, where can I find info on the debt/cash that a company holds? I see various ratios but no actual numbers, even on 5i.

Thanks as always.

Q: I am a member of American Assoc of Independent Investors (AAII) and subscribe to their wonderful database product Stock Investor. AAII is a fantastic place to learn, search using outstanding strategies and collect investment knowledge through osmosis. But alas there is no Canadian equivalent. Various screeners provided by brokers are rudimentary and do not support well known strategies.

I would urge 5i to create a similar service. They use data from Reuters and so could you. Since Canada is primarily resource based market, many screens may not work as they are. Here is a chance to create a Canadian solution tilting towards resources. 5i could do it independently or even with collaboration with AAII. This service will be completely new idea differentiating you from other advisory services. I hope you will explore this opportunity.

Q: Peter & Team,

I note that you frequently talk about anticipated future revenue growth for certain companies (eg, 2018 projections). I also find that future expectations re sales/eps growth are often an available screening criteria in many online stock screening programs (eg, Finviz). Can you tell me the source of these projections as well as your professional opinion as to how much rigor there is behind behind these estimates? Are they purely based upon company projections and, if so, do analysts ever weigh in as to the integrity of these numbers or lack thereof? Thank you.

Q: I'm new to the system, and unable to access your Reports in the Report section. For instance, under your Report category, I typed in the symbol GWO, and clicked on Great West Life. Great West Life appeared in that area ... but when I ran a search, there were no results. If I get a report in your Question area, it's not identical to the reports in the Report area. For instance, I don't see your Ratings in the Question area Report.

Q: I am starting a Growth Portfolio with $100,000 to be phased in over three years. I purchased DOL and SHOP with each 5% weighting, or $5000 each. What weightings should I consider for each of ECN, GSY, OTEX, PHO? (These positions will be in my TFSA and held for the long-term, more than 5 years.) Are there any other positions that I should consider at this time and if so, what weighting?
.PS...I currently hold KXS and GUD in my balanced portfolio.

Q: I believe we are due for a major correction - What do you think are the best ETF's that will hold up the best in
1) Cdn Equities, 2) USA Equities, 3) REITS, 4) Consumer Staples, 5) Commodities,

Q: Are there any unpleasant tax results from buying these ETF's at this time of year?

Q: Often I see two OTC pink trading symbols when looking to buy an international company. Is there a preferred one to buy (one often ends in 'Y')?

Thanks, cathy

Q: Hello Team
Could you please state 3 significant indicators of an imminent market correction or market re-evaluation that the retail investor could watch for or be wary of.
Thank You
Clarence

Q: I have always thought of ENB and TRP as utilities rather than energy companies, as they are involved in distribution of oil/natural gas, rather than dealing with exploration and refinement of these energy sources. Furthermore, while their revenues may have sensitivity to oil/gas prices, there is always a need for oil/gas distribution, whether energy is in a bull or bear market, which is why I have always considered the, as utility companies. I recently noticed that they are listed as energy companies by Bloomberg. For the purposes of sector allocation, is it reasonable to consider them utilities, or should I consider them purely as energy holdings?

Q: Will there be a repeat of Fridays market call, or are you going to re-broadcast on line? I would love to send it to some potential subscribers.
Thanks
Bob

Q: Peter and Associates,
The question of rising rates and their impact on bond proxy alternatives.

There was a time one could somewhat believe a certain reasonably consistent relationships existed between investment alternatives? There also used to be a principle that government and corporate bonds tended to move in opposite directions depending on the economy, especially downturns? Financial engineering has created paradigm shifts, anomalies/distortions, if not bubbles?

In a low inflation environment as rates went low, one could still find 5 year government bonds ( i.e. Provincials) producing 5% +/- returns. In today's artificially low realities? How many TV guests suggest the last BOC increase was a mistake or at least not wise? Is what we are hearing suggesting the Canadian economy and likely even less, highly indebted consumers are capable of handling significant rate hikes? Are there not suggestions technology and globalization are causing , deflation as part of our new economic paradigm?

Given yields on bond proxy alternatives, how real is the likelihood of fixed income rates becoming a strong competitive alternative in the immediate future? Other than giving central banks dry powder wiggle room, more than a few professionals are of the opinion we are in for years of low rates? Somehow a 2.09% 10yr rate (BOC stats) has not only a long way to go, but multiple hurdles to be a disruptor? Is stagflation a concern?

Using the Buffett principle, if corporations cannot find good uses for excess cash, they should return it shareholders? Are corporations acting like we are entering a period of strong economic expansion ? What message does consolidation and right sizing with closures/ job cuts give? My reading of the tea leaves , a tepid bull market cycle? Low grow and rates for the foreseeable future? Reasons to increase and/or declare special dividends for shareholders?

I n a world where the half empty/full glass is used to divide optimists from pessimists, direction and content are often overlooked, if not lost? The fact is, a lot of money can be made regardless to the direction of any market! Low rates, optimistic pessimism?! My conclusion, rates will remain borrower favorable and if so, what will the likely "new" normalized rate structure look like?

For all, capital appreciation is always desired but for retirees ,economic repression and its consequences on needed reliable income of far greater "interest"? Any feed back or counter opinions would be much appreciated. As usual, thank you for sharing your expertise, it is always trustworthy and extremely useful.

Season's greetings and best wishes for a prosperous 2018!

Mike

Q: question - if I sell a TSX listed stock through an on line broker on Dec 28, is it considered a capital gain/loss in 2017 or 2018? The settlement date is, in theory, not for 2 trading days later, Jan 2, so does that make it a 2018 capital gain/loss?

Q: In June you wrote an article in the NP where you provided some insight on 5 smaller U.S. stocks that investors should consider. Any plans to publish a similar updated article in the New Year?

Q: Where can I find a complete list of new highs for stocks on the tsx?

Q: Good morning, i have passed the CSC, The Canadian Securities Course for investors and have a decent understanding of Financial Ratios and statements, do you know how i could get a deeper understanding of the ratios, since the same ratio in one industry can mean something totally different in another industry. it seems to me that a thorough understanding of these can go a long way in making investment decisions, thanks?

Q: What is your recommended sector allocation within the Canadian Equity market and top pick within each segment today? (Discretionary, Staples, Energy, Financials, Health Care, Industrial, Tech, Materials, Communication, Utilities?)

Thanks! Nick

Q: Hello,
My question is portfolio construction strategies for a RIF. Assume the value allows for sufficient diversification to total 20 positions, as long as a max 5% (say $5,000.00 per investment) weighting is respected in each. Also assume one wants foreign exposure and uses ETFs for that portion with a goal of maintain a minimum 25% (say 5 positions) exposure.

Based on the above, that would mean +/- 15 individual CAD stocks can be purchased. I like the fact individual stocks can provide greater returns and outperform the index and/or its sector. But they can also produce far more portfolio carnage for a variety of reasons? Capital preservation is an important consideration but low volatility is acceptable. Other investments can be drawn on to avoid selling in a market downturn and I am still a few years away from reaching 71. I am assuming the value of the portfolio is stable and the strategy would change if the withdrawals started reducing the portfolio value below an amount where a reasonable diversification could be maintained. I believe it is a useful exercise to have an objective yearend review. It helps to understands risks and plan/structure investments going forward with a vision.

In your opinion, what factors might be prime considerations to simply move the funds entirely into ETFs?

Given some recent questions, I would like your insight into FOREX and Covered Call options on ETFs for my foreign exposure. Other than travel, our living expenses are CAD. Consider foreign bank ETFs ZUB and ZBK as a good example since you have provided responses on them . Would buying a block of each which add up to my desired individual investment weight also give some FOREX exposure but a defensive position thanks to the hedge? Similarly, would a strategy of picking two ETFs one with a covered call and the other full market exposure increase capital appreciation potential while enhancing monthly returns?

Thank you for your insights. Season's greetings!

Mike

Q: What would you consider to be the ideal sector weighting for a Canadian equity portfolio? (Discretionary, Staples, Energy, Financials, Health Care, Industrial, Technology, Materials, Communications, Utilities) And what is your top pick in each space?

Q: What sort of circumstances would a company redeem their preferred shares? Are they more likely to be redeemed if they are trading at a premium (above $25.00)?