Q: I'm looking into the future of a Carney Government that might enable the CO2 -EOR(Enhanced Oil Recovery) and how that might help Whitecap(WCP) and Pembina (PPL).
I know in order for it to happen he has to lift the exclusion of EOR from (Bill-59) and streamline it for specific projects via national interest projects, amend assessment and emission laws to reduce regulatory friction(a key request from oil companies) and revise carbon pricing by incentivizing EOR as a CO2 storage pathway possibly with credit stacking.
If the government is able to do this, how lucrative will this be for stocks especially Whitecap (WCP) which operates the Weyburn-Midale CO2 EOR project, the world's largest and longest running CO2 flood in Saskatchewan and Pembina(PPL) who is collaborating to build the Alberta Carbon Grid to transport captured CO2 to oilfields for EOR and sequestration.
Based on this would they be a long term buy today because Carney is now PM?
Thanks
I know in order for it to happen he has to lift the exclusion of EOR from (Bill-59) and streamline it for specific projects via national interest projects, amend assessment and emission laws to reduce regulatory friction(a key request from oil companies) and revise carbon pricing by incentivizing EOR as a CO2 storage pathway possibly with credit stacking.
If the government is able to do this, how lucrative will this be for stocks especially Whitecap (WCP) which operates the Weyburn-Midale CO2 EOR project, the world's largest and longest running CO2 flood in Saskatchewan and Pembina(PPL) who is collaborating to build the Alberta Carbon Grid to transport captured CO2 to oilfields for EOR and sequestration.
Based on this would they be a long term buy today because Carney is now PM?
Thanks
5i Research Answer:
We would consider it more likely under Carney, but essentially hard to quantify impact to any degree. Neither company provides a lot of detail on specific areas of operation, let alone forecasts on what 'might' happen. We would view it as net positive for both, though, if it were to occur. We also already view both as BUYS today within the sector, so any positive impact would be a bonus to current return expectations. But we would not buy JUST on this expectation nor probability.