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  5. TFII: Why would I want to hold these in the current economic conditions? [TFI International Inc.]
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Q: Why would I want to hold these in the current economic conditions? If things change can they reach highs again or do you predict further downward movement? Appreciate your insight.
Asked by Neil on May 06, 2025
5i Research Answer:

Economic circumstances can change quickly, and even when they don't change at face value, the market can still price in better news ahead. At this point, a lot has been priced into these types of names, and it is no surprise to investors that they are in a freight recession or capital equipment spending down cycle. The market likes to work in a counterintuitive way, and what might seem like an obvious trade (sell stocks because tariffs are coming, or sell consumer discretionary names because of tariffs) may not always work out as simply as that. For example, ATZ is highly sensitive to the tariff situation, but yet it rose significantly following earnings. 

We are not sure when the freight recession may end, but these are both high-quality names with a track record of execution, and we prefer to own these types of names across the business cycles because timing when things may improve is highly difficult.