Q: Hello 5i team,
Much is being said about protecting one's portfolio in the event of a correction; here is what I think.
Let’s assume that my portfolio is worth 100k, 5k of which is in gold (5% as you suggest).
If the market corrects by 10% and gold appreciates by 10%, the value of my portfolio would drop to 91k (85.5k equity, 5.5k gold); If I did not hold any gold, my portfolio would have dropped to 90k (or 1k less).
If the market corrects and gold appreciates by 20%, the value of the portfolio would drop to respectively 83k and 80k (or 3k less).
If the market corrects and gold appreciates by 40%, the value of the portfolio would drop to respectively 64k and 60k (or 4k less).
I conclude that holding 5% of my portfolio in gold does not provide materially significant protection in any of the above scenarios.
If one desires real protection in any of the above scenarios, 50% of the portfolio should be in gold; only then would the value of the portfolio remain intact.
Your comments are most appreciated,
Antoine
Much is being said about protecting one's portfolio in the event of a correction; here is what I think.
Let’s assume that my portfolio is worth 100k, 5k of which is in gold (5% as you suggest).
If the market corrects by 10% and gold appreciates by 10%, the value of my portfolio would drop to 91k (85.5k equity, 5.5k gold); If I did not hold any gold, my portfolio would have dropped to 90k (or 1k less).
If the market corrects and gold appreciates by 20%, the value of the portfolio would drop to respectively 83k and 80k (or 3k less).
If the market corrects and gold appreciates by 40%, the value of the portfolio would drop to respectively 64k and 60k (or 4k less).
I conclude that holding 5% of my portfolio in gold does not provide materially significant protection in any of the above scenarios.
If one desires real protection in any of the above scenarios, 50% of the portfolio should be in gold; only then would the value of the portfolio remain intact.
Your comments are most appreciated,
Antoine