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  5. CLS: If you believe that the AI bubble will burst this year how might you position your portfolio to profit? [Celestica Inc.]
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Q: If you believe that the AI bubble will burst this year how might you position your portfolio to profit? I imagine picking defensive names, not owning companies with direct AI exposure, and owning precious metals is a start. If the bubble burst I would assume this would trigger a broader market selloff so not sure if there is a lot of places to hide. Would you consider any Put option strategies? Are there any other sectors/companies that would actually benefit from the bubble bursting? Thanks
Asked by Jeremy on February 10, 2026
5i Research Answer:

While a bubble pop would not be good for markets, investors we think would allocate capital to other sectors. Value stocks would do better, at least relatively. Utilities, health and consumer staples would likely hold up better. We do not think the bubble will burst this year. Spending on AI on average (based on company guidance) is actually accelerating and is up about 60% on average versus last year. We would also consider valuations. A company such as NVDA of course has risen sharply. But, on a forward earnings basis, it is cheaper than it has been in some time. This does not prevent a bubble pop from happening, but things would be worse if valuations were different. Stocks have risen, but in many cases earnings have risen faster than stock prices. Put options are very expensive, and of course expire. Instead, we might use a single leverage reverse ETF such as PSQ. Fees are 0.95%, but at least it does not expire. It also (currently) pays a distribution. 

Authors of this answer, directors, partners and/or officers of 5i Research and/or affiliated companies have a financial or other interest in NVDA.