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Constellation Software Inc. (CSU $2,844.99)
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Topicus.com Inc. (TOI $113.78)
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Lumine Group Inc. (LMN $24.30)
Q: Hello Team 5i & Everyone,
Please share if you think this will be of help to other members (and not unintentionally hurt them), I thought that I would share what price levels I’m watching the CSU family at for a reaction. But at the end of the day it’s just a guess:
Lumine - It sold off the hardest initially, so it may recover first. There was a strong reaction as soon as the price action dropped just below $23. Someone likes that price and immediately bought enough to stop and reverse the sell off. Therefore, if the price action drops below $23 again I am going to watch and see what happens. What I would like to see is price go slightly lower than before and then bounce back up quickly like before, and maybe even start a bit of a rally.
Topicus - There was a strong reaction when price dropped just below $109 on Thursday that looks similar to Lumine’s $23 level on the chart, so I’m watching to see if the price action consolidates around the level that it is now. There’s also a gap fill at $104 that I’m also keeping an eye on.
CSU - I’m watching to see what the price action does if it gets down to the $2,700 (or even the $2,500) level and if there is a reaction around there.
A sell off this dramatic is like trying to stop a freight train, the same way the market sells off at the end of a bull run. It will take time, but as long as the fundamentals of the company justify it then institutional buyers will step back in at a price level that they like the potential risk/reward of and provide support for a bottom where they will start accumulating. When I see that, I will look at adding to my position. (Take a look at the chart for BCE if you’d like to see an example of this.)
Hope everyone is having a nice weekend!
Sandra
Please share if you think this will be of help to other members (and not unintentionally hurt them), I thought that I would share what price levels I’m watching the CSU family at for a reaction. But at the end of the day it’s just a guess:
Lumine - It sold off the hardest initially, so it may recover first. There was a strong reaction as soon as the price action dropped just below $23. Someone likes that price and immediately bought enough to stop and reverse the sell off. Therefore, if the price action drops below $23 again I am going to watch and see what happens. What I would like to see is price go slightly lower than before and then bounce back up quickly like before, and maybe even start a bit of a rally.
Topicus - There was a strong reaction when price dropped just below $109 on Thursday that looks similar to Lumine’s $23 level on the chart, so I’m watching to see if the price action consolidates around the level that it is now. There’s also a gap fill at $104 that I’m also keeping an eye on.
CSU - I’m watching to see what the price action does if it gets down to the $2,700 (or even the $2,500) level and if there is a reaction around there.
A sell off this dramatic is like trying to stop a freight train, the same way the market sells off at the end of a bull run. It will take time, but as long as the fundamentals of the company justify it then institutional buyers will step back in at a price level that they like the potential risk/reward of and provide support for a bottom where they will start accumulating. When I see that, I will look at adding to my position. (Take a look at the chart for BCE if you’d like to see an example of this.)
Hope everyone is having a nice weekend!
Sandra
5i Research Answer:
Thank you; based on the number of questions and overall angst towards these stocks, sentiment 'implies' things should bottom soon. We continue to note that, so far, nothing negatively fundamental has shown up in the reported numbers from these companies. The CEO switch at CSU was of course notable, however.