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  5. DOL: Thoughts on these two results and forward outlook? [Dollarama Inc.]
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Investment Q&A

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Q: Thoughts on these two results and forward outlook?

DOL - had a solid beat and raised guidance, guidance and growth look strong still. Stock down currently on the results.

TVK - sales beat, profit down, div up 20%. For growth and acquisition companies like this, do you like to see a 20% div increase vs other "better" capital allocation ideas such as buying back shares, re-investing capital into more organic growth, etc.. Thoughts? Looking to add more to a smallish position.

Thanks!
Asked by Keith on December 14, 2023
5i Research Answer:

We have two comments on TVK posted; DOL reported EPS of 92c vs estimates of 86c. Revenue of $1.47B matched estimates. Dollarama's new same-store sales guidance of 11-12% for fiscal 2024 from 10-11% seems adequate and achievable. The new outlook suggests a deceleration in 4Q amid the most difficult comparisons for the year and normalizing consumer spending, with lingering positive trends in the industry favoring value-seeking shopping. 4Q same-store sales growth should be 4-5% mostly on traffic.  Lower inbound shipping costs allowed gross margin to widen 200 bps in 3Q. As supply-chain headwinds continue to normalize, margins could widen 60 bps for the year, enabling DOL to reach the midpoint of management's 43.5-44.5% guidance. Things continue to look good at DOL.