Q: Hello 5i
Your analysis tells me that i am underweight in basic materials. I have been thinking about buying more of Stella Jones, which i already own. But, as you will know, it has had a pretty good run recently. So, i was then wondering about looking for a good prospect that has been more beaten down and with a good chance of a rebound. Would you go with SJ, or would there be a better choice, either in Canada or US? Dividend doesn't matter. I have a feeling that this isn't a bad time to be looking at basic materials. Would you agree with that?
Thanks as always for your help
Your analysis tells me that i am underweight in basic materials. I have been thinking about buying more of Stella Jones, which i already own. But, as you will know, it has had a pretty good run recently. So, i was then wondering about looking for a good prospect that has been more beaten down and with a good chance of a rebound. Would you go with SJ, or would there be a better choice, either in Canada or US? Dividend doesn't matter. I have a feeling that this isn't a bad time to be looking at basic materials. Would you agree with that?
Thanks as always for your help
5i Research Answer:
We would be fine buying SJ, as even with its run it is only 14X earnings. We like the momentum of course and in addition to a strong last quarter earnings estimates have been recently rising. RS in the US also looks good, and is a bit cheaper at 11X earnings, but also likely has more cyclicality than SJ. Timing is 'probably' OK. We do have the competing forces of a possible recession offset by the possibility of lower rates next year.