Regulators (including the OSC) are actively considering CIX’s application to operate an alternative trading system (ATS) with extended hours and potentially different fee structures, and TMX has publicly warned that approval could be “profoundly disruptive” to the current TSX ecosystem. So the idea is not hypothetical: it is a live policy and competitive threat, but whether it launches, on what scale, and when remains uncertain pending approvals and TMX’s own responses. In addition to macro\market concerns, investors seem to be reacting to deceleration of growth. X had some very solid years early this decent. Recent commentary notes that trading volumes, new listings, and overall capital‑market activity have cooled versus the frothier periods of 2023–2024, which directly pressures TMX’s transaction‑based revenue lines. X has also missed estimates in two of the past eight quarters.
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