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  5. WCN: WCN is under pressure. [Waste Connections Inc.]
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Q: WCN is under pressure. Please comment on recent earnings and possible reasons for the downtrend. Thanks.
Asked by Greg on February 12, 2026
5i Research Answer:

Waste Connections' results and guidance reflect a solid performance amid a soft cyclical environment. Revenue rose 5%, with solid-waste price increases and M&A offsetting declines in volume and commodities. Adjusted Ebitda margin expanded over 100 bps, supported by price-led growth, lower employee turnover and disciplined overhead control. The company's 2026 forecast points to a 6% Ebitda gain, 200 bps below 2025, on a slightly lower organic revenue rise and margin expansion due to inflation and commodity weakness. Free cash flow beat consensus and rose modestly year over year as Ebitda gains offset higher capital spending. Waste Connections’ net leverage ratio remains toward the middle of its 2.5-3x target range, supporting additional investments in M&A and share buybacks. The stock is weak largely due to the 2026 outlook showing deceleration in ebitda growth.