Q: Hi Team,
Just looking for some general thoughts here with GSY. It's hard to believe that it's been 4 years now since GSY share price has peaked. Yet, just the other day GSY announced their loan portfolio hit the 5 Billion mark. Not so long ago it was 3B, and not so long before that 1B. It appears to me that the company has it a scale in their lending and now the loan book is growing at a rapid, exponential pace. However, the share price still has not recovered from 2021 peak. Do you see this as a massive "base" forming here per say? Do you fore see another long term uptrend starting here anytime soon? Trying to gauge the disconnect here between the solid earnings and loan book growth over the last 4 years and the current share price. Is the set up here a great buying opportunity for the next decade?
Thanks,
Shane.
Just looking for some general thoughts here with GSY. It's hard to believe that it's been 4 years now since GSY share price has peaked. Yet, just the other day GSY announced their loan portfolio hit the 5 Billion mark. Not so long ago it was 3B, and not so long before that 1B. It appears to me that the company has it a scale in their lending and now the loan book is growing at a rapid, exponential pace. However, the share price still has not recovered from 2021 peak. Do you see this as a massive "base" forming here per say? Do you fore see another long term uptrend starting here anytime soon? Trying to gauge the disconnect here between the solid earnings and loan book growth over the last 4 years and the current share price. Is the set up here a great buying opportunity for the next decade?
Thanks,
Shane.
5i Research Answer:
We think it is a good set up. For some reason (yes growth is factor) investors have gravitated to PRL over GSY. GSY did report some deceleration in growth in the past few quarters. But considering its growth and pedigree and history, 9X earnings seems too cheap for a company that has created lots of shareholder value in many different economic environments. Shares are up 1,789% in 15 years and we would not bet against it. The CEO transition did of course add some uncertainty, but the new CEO has a good pedigree, and was only hired a few months ago. We think the stock will be nicely higher in five years.