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  5. GOOS: Goose is continuing its spiral to all time lows, but (I think? [Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares]
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Q: Goose is continuing its spiral to all time lows, but (I think?) business model remains ok. Is this getting to the point of buying if in for the long haul or is this one to leave and forget about?
Asked by Chris on March 19, 2025
5i Research Answer:

GOOS was a bit lower yesterday (all time low yesterday), but has gone below Covid lows now. It has risen only three trading days in the past month. It is cheap on valuation at 12X earnings (historical average more than 40X), but the balance sheet is leveraged. Consensus calls still for growth in 2025 and 2026, but with China weakness and who-knows what will happen in North America, these estimates look likely to be lowered. The last quarter was not great and the winter season likely was not either. We think the brand still has solid value, and the company might be a candidate for privatization from a group willing to put in the patience need for a turnaround. Sales growth has certainly slowed, from 'great' to 'meh'. With its small size, negative momentum and economic risk, it is hard to endorse right now.