The recent trend has not been as good as historical. Starting in Q1 2020, PBH beat estimates in 11 straight quarters. Since Q3 2022, it has only beaten estimates twice. The average surprise/miss is absolute 13.91%, and the average price change is absolute 3.8%. Thus, on average there is not much movement post earnings. In the past 10 years after earnings the biggest 'down' was -16.6% and the biggest 'up' was 12.6%. The Q3 was pretty ugly with a 17% earnings miss and an 8% stock decline. But, estimates have been ticking up over the past month. We would expect a slight miss (just going with averages and history here). Of course, guidance will be key. We think these days PBH, and all companies, will likely lead to 'conservative' guidance since no one knows how tariffs/inflation/rates/recession will play out. Thus, it is quite hard to paint a 'blow out quarter big price gain' on the upcoming quarter.
5i Research Answer: