Q: Hi 5i,
Would appreciate your thoughts on GOOS recent earnings.
Market doesn't seem to be too happy with this company today but I didn't see anything that would warrant a 8% drop in value. Given the potential upcoming/current economic headwinds I believe they performed well and lowering their guidance to be a prudent move.
What am I missing?
Thank you.
Greg C.
Would appreciate your thoughts on GOOS recent earnings.
Market doesn't seem to be too happy with this company today but I didn't see anything that would warrant a 8% drop in value. Given the potential upcoming/current economic headwinds I believe they performed well and lowering their guidance to be a prudent move.
What am I missing?
Thank you.
Greg C.
5i Research Answer:
While slashing guidance may be prudent, investors still react to expectations vs reality. The guidance cut was likely bigger than most expected. In addition, the company is transitioning to a new CFO which generally causes some investor angst. GOOS said sales momentum began to 'slow noticeably' in September. With China struggling, investors are just preferring to sit this one out, for now. 3Q revenue guidance dropped to $575M to $700M, vs estimates of $727M, a not-igsignificant drop if it comes in at the lower end of the range. Debt may also be a worry here. Still, at 11X earnings now, it is historically cheap, and despite the forecast analysts still expect earnings growth over the next two years.