1) How safe would you say the dividend is?
2) Can you estimate the payout ratio at this time?
3) Is this the proverbial falling knife, or is there a basis for some share price (are we there?) where a buy is in the order?
Thanks! ... PK
In the last 12 months, cash flow was $52M and dividends paid were $90M. Frankly we can't believe the dividend has not been cut yet. At a 20% yield, investors certainly do not have any confidence in the dividend. Payout 173% but note this was as of June 30 and results are likely worse now, so the payout is likely even higher. The stock has been a disaster. Assets/sales have fallen for some time, and something needs to be 'fixed' here. We do think it is a takeover target, but we would have said that at $10 as well. It is probably a value trap without something changing or some other catalyst.