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Investment Q&A

Not investment advice or solicitation to buy/sell securities. Do your own due diligence and/or consult an advisor.

Q: Hey guys

Do you think it would be wise to average down on Phm at this level? I'm not in at the highs it once was but still thinking of averaging down and wondering if i should. Also is there anything else behind why it's performing like it is and being stagnant at the 52 week low? I mean besides the regular issues that the company has been trying to shake off? Thanks for your help.
Read Answer Asked by jason on February 23, 2016
Q: Peter,

Do you think the management team at PHM is competent enough to run a public company?

After listening to the latest earnings call, they can’t forecast the simplest of financial metrics namely revenue growth or gross margins. How can they run a company without this basic awareness of what is going on?

Thanks
John
Read Answer Asked by John on February 15, 2016
Q: What are your thoughts on the recent year end financials. With the finances improving and new members added to the board, do you believe the stock will start to be re looked at. Many heavy hitters asked to see ALL these changes and year end numbers. Could you also speak to the balance sheet..cash on hand etc. Would you be a buyer around these prices.
Thanks Jason N
Read Answer Asked by JASON on February 11, 2016
Q: I thought your comments about PHM regarding their revenues, plans and PR ineptness hit the nail on the head. It is distressing to see how they, on the one hand, can integrate the acquisitions and grow revenues and profits - a significant feat - and on the other hand, stumble on public relations. I keep reminding myself that hospitals are kicking people out "feverishly" and 10,000 people a day turn 65 in the U.S. In my Canadian hometown, we have an absolutely fantastic new regional hospital costing $500M in 2010 and beds have been cut by one-third in five years and staff cuts are heartbreaking. Clearly, we live in a new healthcare era and PHM is so well-positioned to capitalize. Is this not a bonanza waiting to happen if they continue to streamline their profitable operation to the point of maximum potential before getting back into acquisition mode? I think this model is so relevant today. Lately, the share price has been consumed and overpowered by traders but the long term prospects could be substantial. Frustration aside, what do you think?
Read Answer Asked by Steven on February 11, 2016
Q: Hello.
Thanks for quality answers to questions.

Would you please help by offering insight to dealing with investor psychology and behaviour; 50% gain in PHM only to now be in the red on this holding?
My current thinking does not make sense to me to hold at the top of a gain only to feel like getting out now that the stock price has declined to the point that it feels like a poor investment decision.
I have been drawn into more aggressive type investments being connected to this subscription (beyond normal style) so I believe I can benefit from your experience and comments about dealing with volatility of the nature in this question.
Thanks
Dave

Read Answer Asked by Dave on January 29, 2016
Q: Hi 5I Research team, Trying to read PHM' annual report. Some question marks:
On page 6 : " Revenue for the 12 month period ended September 30, 2015 revenue totaled $71.7 million up $50.5 million from the same period in 2014. The increase in revenue for the year w as driven primarily by the acquisitions of Black Bear, Black Bear North, Black Bear NH, West Home Health, Sleep Management and Legacy Oxygen in 2015, and Care Medical in June of 2014. Combined these acquisitions generated approximately $47.2 million revenue in the year from their respective date of acquisition. In addition favorable exchange rates benefited revenue by approximately $4.1 million." : the numbers seem to indicate an organic growth negative? What am I missing?
Bad debt expense= 6 M$ (approx 8% of revenues): versus 5% of revenue the year before: can we expect this to be a recurring expense? Is this a sign of bad management or a necessary bad that comes with the business?
Impairment of goodwill and customer relationships = 10 M$ : Isn't worrying to decrease the valuation of very recent acquisitions (Legacy, West Home, 0891532BC-a related party transaction, RMG and RMC)? Does it mean they overpaid for these acquisitions, bad allocation of acquisition costs or the new management is cleaning-up the balance sheet when starting their reign?
Stock-based compensation = 9 M$: Is it a one-time expense for the work done during the last fiscal year or is it a recurring expense? Written differently: can we expect other expenses for the acquisitions made in that fiscal year or exclusively new ones for future acquisitions?
Can you explain why and to whom the options were issued over the last +2 fiscal years (nearly 47 M! > 10% of shares)? Is it a way to pay the management in place or is it to pay while making new acquisitions and keep new "acquired managers" motivated?
This company seems to have a good strategy. The current year will reveal if operations are in good hands. But, the price paid for some acquisitions, and its accounting generate question marks. Do you agree?
Thank you for your collaboration, Eric (sorry for the lenght)
Read Answer Asked by Eric on January 18, 2016
Q: Hi team,
I am aware of your positive view on this company and am a follower of BNN,and noticed that Peter will be guest of Market call this Friday,Jan.15. He will possibly be asked by a viewer/follower about his opinion of PHM.
Fabrice Taylor was a guest on BNN, 2015-12-04,and mentioned that this company would"probably be sold in the next 12 months" I have not heard that they were up for sale,and as a speculation what would be a fair price should it be taken over?
Many thanks,
Jean C.
Read Answer Asked by Jean on January 14, 2016
Q: Greetings 5i Team,
I have been patiently (no pun intended) waiting for this company to bounce back after all bumps it went through the past year. As things were looking good at the beginning of the year (due to positive year end results), it has taken another step back recently due to what's been happening to markets around the world. I was wondering if it's a good idea/time to dilute the price of my $0.95 cost/share now. Thank you for your time.
Read Answer Asked by Jerald on January 13, 2016
Q: Happy New Year to the 5i Team,
I found your answer to the question regarding PHM`s year end results to be clear, factual, but guarded; understandable, considering the dramatic start to this morning`s opening of the North American markets. By the end of the day, the stock went up 25% with huge volume. I am currently with BMO Investorline, who are on record as stating that ``There are currently no news headlines for this security`. Without overstating the obvious, would you be able to offer any further observations or feedback after today`s results, on an otherwise gloomy day? I find it hard to believe that there has not been more interest shown by other members in this event. Thank you as always. Rick
Read Answer Asked by Rick on January 05, 2016
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