Q: Hello Peter:
I am looking for your unbiased opinion on Ithaca Energy. I currently have it as a holding in my portfolio along with other energy stocks and it has been really beaten down this year. I have made money trading it in the past when I have sold it at $2.55 and again at $2.90. However in June and July I ended up obtaining my full position again with a current average cost of $2.50. With the current oil environment and the meeting of OPEC on Thursday would you think it would be wise to lower my average cost by buying more after this meeting in light of the potential positive catalysts of Stella doubling current production in the 3Q of 2015 and their current break even price is $20.00 per barrel for current production and hedging. I am expecting the price of oil to drop further after the OPEC meeting however I am thinking Ithaca will withstand the lower price and still remain profitable. They have had some setbacks over the last few years of either not meeting production targets or dates and have been hit hard because of it. Some of these setbacks are due to 3rd parties like TAQA and Petrofac but the management gets the blame on bullboards I also read for research.
At the current price of $1.40 it is extremely cheap. Other analysts have the stock still at $2.80 - $3.20 target. Their net backs are still high and will be higher when Stella comes on line, however I do not want to throw good money after bad.
Thanks in advance for your opinion.
I am looking for your unbiased opinion on Ithaca Energy. I currently have it as a holding in my portfolio along with other energy stocks and it has been really beaten down this year. I have made money trading it in the past when I have sold it at $2.55 and again at $2.90. However in June and July I ended up obtaining my full position again with a current average cost of $2.50. With the current oil environment and the meeting of OPEC on Thursday would you think it would be wise to lower my average cost by buying more after this meeting in light of the potential positive catalysts of Stella doubling current production in the 3Q of 2015 and their current break even price is $20.00 per barrel for current production and hedging. I am expecting the price of oil to drop further after the OPEC meeting however I am thinking Ithaca will withstand the lower price and still remain profitable. They have had some setbacks over the last few years of either not meeting production targets or dates and have been hit hard because of it. Some of these setbacks are due to 3rd parties like TAQA and Petrofac but the management gets the blame on bullboards I also read for research.
At the current price of $1.40 it is extremely cheap. Other analysts have the stock still at $2.80 - $3.20 target. Their net backs are still high and will be higher when Stella comes on line, however I do not want to throw good money after bad.
Thanks in advance for your opinion.