Can you explain what is behind the sudden strength, and how long you expect it to last? What would be your exit timing strategy to maximize profit here? Technical charts like MACD, or something else?
Thanks as always for your wise insights!
The best strategy is to maintain a desired weighting and sell into strength. This reduces overall risk as it rises. The core position can be sold 'when something changes' or fundamentals shift, or something else happens (too much debt, management change, competitive threats). Generally, even though we don't like the company that much, selling just because it is up is not usually a good strategy. The stock is up 10 days in a row now, largely on AI/battery/electricity exitement, but the company is also showcasing its new generation transit fuel cell module in early October at a conference. There is likely 'pre-buying' ahead of this event. The stock also gets a large retail and stock forum following. Fundamentals have not been so great. Its backlog and order book declined in the last quarter. We might ride this for another 15% or so but do not really think the gains are going to be that sustainable.