Thanks!
The JV is a very positive development and certainly de-risks the Arizona projects. But note there is still work to be done and a commercial feasbility study. Best case, production doesn't start until 2029. But overall still very positive for HBM.
EPS of 19c beat estimates of 9.5c; revenue of $536.4M beat estimates of $492M. EBITDA of $245.2M was 27% better than expected. Hudbay's 3Q consensus Ebitda of $280 million looks achievable on estimated copper prices of $9,500 a ton. Should current spot hold, there could be an additional $10 million in upside. With 1H output of 61,000 tons of copper and 130,000 ounces of gold, the company is tracking toward meeting full-year guidance despite disruptions in Peru and Manitoba. In 2Q, Peru gold production was lower due to mine sequencing, with high-grade Pampacancha nearing depletion, suggesting 2H volume will need to step up to reach the midpoint to high end of guidance. As noted, the sale of a 30% stake in Copper World for $420 million, along with a $180 million follow-on contribution and pro-rata payments, highlights its premium value and reduces near-term cash needs, improving flexibility to advance the growth pipeline. The stock is acting well this year and it remains relatively cheap at 14X earnings.