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  5. SHOP: Poor quarter. [Shopify Inc. Class A Subordinate Voting Shares]
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Q: Poor quarter. What does this mean going forward? Is this still a star rising or a star that has lost its way? Where do you see the stock price going? Is it a buy, hold or sell? Have you changed opinion on it?
Asked on May 08, 2025
5i Research Answer:

EPS was 25c vs estimates of 26c; revenue $2.36B beat estimates by 0.9%. EBITDA of $337M was slightly below estimates. Revenue rose 27%. Gross merchandising volume (GMV) rose 14% to $74.75B, but this missed estimates of $76B. This seems to be the main concern for investors. Merchant solutions rose 29%. For the current quarter, SHOP says it expects revenue to grow at a 'mid twenties' percentage rate, with current estimates at 22%. SHOP says that 'de minimis' rule changes should have little impact to its business. The stock is down about $4 (US) as we write this, but note had risen $13 in the two weeks leading into this print. Very strong earnings growth is still expected over the next 24 months, and nothing serious has changed here, nor with our viewpoint. We would still see it as a good long term growth buy. The stock may bounce, but we think it is on its way to north of US$100, in a normal type of market environment.