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  5. OTEX: Your thoughts on OTEX, is there enough happening here to see this stock higher in a year from now? [Open Text Corporation]
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Q: Your thoughts on OTEX, is there enough happening here to see this stock higher in a year from now? What are the most significant numbers in this Q report?
Thanks.
Asked by Harry on May 02, 2025
5i Research Answer:

EPS of 82c beat estimates of 76c; revenue of $1.25B missed estimates of $1.28B. EBITDA of $395.2M beat estimates by 3.4%. OpenText organic growth challenges might stay elevated amid uncertain demand, delayed enterprise decision-making on major IT spending and tariffs. The company's 11% annual recurring revenue (ARR) exposure to the public sector also needs monitoring, particularly as US federal government spending scales back, which could bring additional pain to companies. The company's focus on AI product rollouts is positive, yet product differentiation in the enterprise content management business -- 40% of revenue -- might remain tough. The company noted that the auto tariffs and government spending cutbacks drove customers to reassess their budgets, translating to a $40-$50 million bookings impact. It is hard to paint a really positive picture here, but this is reflected in valuation: 7X earnings and a 4.06% dividend. Debt remains high at 5X cash flow and this needs to be reduced, in our view.