Q: I'm trying to assess unit price movement of HYPYT under certain scenarios ..... I have HYPT not HYPT.U ......
1} The Bank of Canada reduces rates in response to Trump's tariffs. Tariff inflation cannot be battled with interest rate increases .....
2} The US Fed also reduces rates as raising them would have no affect on tariff inflation and a possible recession would be Powell's main concern ......
Please comment on my theory and what price action you would expect if I am correct ? Thanks for your terrific service ......
1} The Bank of Canada reduces rates in response to Trump's tariffs. Tariff inflation cannot be battled with interest rate increases .....
2} The US Fed also reduces rates as raising them would have no affect on tariff inflation and a possible recession would be Powell's main concern ......
Please comment on my theory and what price action you would expect if I am correct ? Thanks for your terrific service ......
5i Research Answer:
HPYT is going to respond more to US rates than Canada's. However if Canadian rates decline then our dollar probably will decline as well, and HPYT would see a corresponding benefit as the value of its US securities would rise in Canadian dollar terms. If US rates fall then US treasuries should rise and the ETF would benefit from this. Keep in mind the covered call strategy may cap gains, but the direction should still be higher in this case.