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  5. HBND: With U. [Hamilton U.S. Bond Yield Maximizer ETF]
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Investment Q&A

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Q: With U.S. Treasury yields on the rise, is this a good time to buy this U.S Treasury focused ETF? Also, looking forward, and assuming a higher for longer scenario for interest rates, that are at a peak now, and will stay there for a couple of years, what would your outlook be for this ETF? Is the yield sustainable at a targeted 10%, or might it rise in the short term? Thanks. Will
Asked by Will on October 06, 2023
5i Research Answer:

HBND targets a 10%+ yield and writes call options on around 50% of its holdings.
The ETFs distribution yield can benefit if interest rates or the expectation of interest rates rise, as not only the yield on the underlying bond holdings will increase along with interest rates, but a rising yield also means bond prices fall, which benefits the covered call portion of the ETF. But, this means that the price of the underlying bond holdings in the ETF will decline in value, and thus the unit price of the ETF.

If an investor feels that interest rates will continue to rise, then we think HBND can be beneficial in that scenario as the distribution yield and covered call feature will benefit, but the price of HBND will decline as bond prices fall. However, if rates stagnate or decline, this ETF may see some capital appreciation, but its yield can be negatively impacted. In other words, for an investor primarily seeking income, if rates continue to rise, this ETF can be attractive as its yield and covered call portion will benefit (but its unit price will decline). But if rates stagnate or decline, and for an investor seeking income, the yield on this ETF may come under pressure, but its unit price can see capital appreciation.