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  5. CJ: Kindly comment on CJ's 2023 Q1 results and also on if the downgrade by RBC is justified. [Cardinal Energy Ltd.]
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Q: Kindly comment on CJ's 2023 Q1 results and also on if the downgrade by RBC is justified. Thanks.
Asked by Victor on May 17, 2023
5i Research Answer:

EPS of 10c missed estimates of 15.3c. Revenue of $135M missed estimates of $136.6M. Production was 21.7K b/d day and free cash flow was $28.8M. Its 2023 drill program will renew in the 2Q. Production rose 5%. The balance sheet is now nearly debt free. Earnings are expected to fall this year. The stock is very cheap, but RBC seems to be taking a conservative stance in case prices fall in a recession. We think the 7X valuation already reflects most risk. Payout ratio is <25%, though at an 11% yield investors seem unduly concerned on the dividend.